Lithium Chile Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| LITH Stock | CAD 0.61 0.02 3.39% |
Lithium Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Lithium Chile's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | Wall Street Target Price 1.28 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 9.535 |
Using Lithium Chile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lithium Chile from the perspective of Lithium Chile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lithium Chile on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.79. Lithium Chile after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lithium |
Lithium Chile Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lithium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lithium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lithium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lithium Chile Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lithium Chile on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lithium Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lithium Chile's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lithium Chile Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lithium Chile | Lithium Chile Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Lithium Chile Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lithium Chile's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lithium Chile's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.77, respectively. We have considered Lithium Chile's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lithium Chile stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lithium Chile stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0025 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0133 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.024 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.7872 |
Predictive Modules for Lithium Chile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lithium Chile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lithium Chile After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lithium Chile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lithium Chile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lithium Chile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lithium Chile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lithium Chile's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lithium Chile's historical news coverage. Lithium Chile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 3.77, respectively. We have considered Lithium Chile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lithium Chile is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lithium Chile is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lithium Chile Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lithium Chile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lithium Chile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lithium Chile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 3.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.61 | 0.61 | 0.00 |
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Lithium Chile Hype Timeline
Lithium Chile is now traded for 0.61on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lithium is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lithium Chile is about 13446.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.61. About 17.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Lithium Chile was now reported as 0.18. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Lithium Chile had 1016:1000 split on the 3rd of December 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lithium Chile to cross-verify your projections.Lithium Chile Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lithium Chile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lithium Chile's future price movements. Getting to know how Lithium Chile's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lithium Chile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RCK | Rock Tech Lithium | (0.01) | 10 per month | 3.55 | 0.05 | 7.89 | (6.33) | 28.05 | |
| CRE | Critical Elements | (0.03) | 3 per month | 3.32 | 0.01 | 9.30 | (6.00) | 20.81 | |
| PLSR | Pulsar Helium | 0.00 | 7 per month | 4.12 | 0.22 | 17.65 | (7.35) | 39.34 | |
| DEFN | Defense Metals Corp | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.00 | (6.90) | 22.22 | |
| GMX | Globex Mining Enterprises | 0.19 | 7 per month | 2.03 | 0.22 | 6.72 | (3.89) | 16.50 | |
| CCCM | C3 Metals | (0.04) | 3 per month | 6.20 | 0.04 | 8.33 | (6.67) | 43.03 | |
| LGO | Largo Resources | 0.16 | 3 per month | 5.13 | 0.08 | 10.00 | (9.04) | 38.67 | |
| WM | Wallbridge Mining | 0.01 | 3 per month | 4.24 | 0.05 | 11.11 | (10.00) | 24.29 | |
| LTH | Lithium Ionic Corp | (0.02) | 2 per month | 3.98 | 0.14 | 8.79 | (6.98) | 24.15 | |
| PGE | Stillwater Critical Minerals | (0.01) | 4 per month | 6.16 | 0.04 | 11.54 | (10.81) | 44.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lithium Chile
For every potential investor in Lithium, whether a beginner or expert, Lithium Chile's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lithium Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lithium. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lithium Chile's price trends.Lithium Chile Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lithium Chile stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lithium Chile could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lithium Chile by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lithium Chile Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lithium Chile stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lithium Chile shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lithium Chile stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lithium Chile entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lithium Chile Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lithium Chile's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lithium Chile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lithium stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.99 | |||
| Variance | 15.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.37 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lithium Chile
The number of cover stories for Lithium Chile depends on current market conditions and Lithium Chile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lithium Chile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lithium Chile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Lithium Stock Analysis
When running Lithium Chile's price analysis, check to measure Lithium Chile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lithium Chile is operating at the current time. Most of Lithium Chile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lithium Chile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lithium Chile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lithium Chile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.