Argentina Lithium Stock Forward View
| LIT Stock | CAD 0.15 0.02 15.38% |
Argentina Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Argentina Lithium's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 0.4 |
Using Argentina Lithium hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Argentina Lithium Energy from the perspective of Argentina Lithium response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Argentina Lithium Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92. Argentina Lithium after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Argentina |
Argentina Lithium Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Argentina price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Argentina using various technical indicators. When you analyze Argentina charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Argentina Lithium Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Argentina Lithium Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Argentina Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Argentina Lithium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Argentina Lithium Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Argentina Lithium | Argentina Lithium Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Argentina Lithium Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Argentina Lithium's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Argentina Lithium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.92, respectively. We have considered Argentina Lithium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Argentina Lithium stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Argentina Lithium stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9644 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0148 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0997 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.9193 |
Predictive Modules for Argentina Lithium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Argentina Lithium Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Argentina Lithium After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Argentina Lithium at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Argentina Lithium or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Argentina Lithium, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Argentina Lithium Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Argentina Lithium's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Argentina Lithium's historical news coverage. Argentina Lithium's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 8.84, respectively. We have considered Argentina Lithium's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Argentina Lithium is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Argentina Lithium Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Argentina Lithium Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Argentina Lithium is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Argentina Lithium backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Argentina Lithium, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.89 | 8.77 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.15 | 0.14 | 6.67 |
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Argentina Lithium Hype Timeline
Argentina Lithium Energy is now traded for 0.15on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Argentina is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -6.67%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.89%. The volatility of related hype on Argentina Lithium is about 116933.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.16. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Argentina Lithium Energy recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of October 2018. The firm had 1:3 split on the 22nd of December 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Argentina Lithium to cross-verify your projections.Argentina Lithium Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Argentina Lithium's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Argentina Lithium's future price movements. Getting to know how Argentina Lithium's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Argentina Lithium may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VLI | Vision Lithium | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.33 | |
| NZP | Chatham Rock Phosphate | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 25.00 | (20.00) | 45.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Argentina Lithium
For every potential investor in Argentina, whether a beginner or expert, Argentina Lithium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Argentina Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Argentina. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Argentina Lithium's price trends.Argentina Lithium Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Argentina Lithium stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Argentina Lithium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Argentina Lithium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Argentina Lithium Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Argentina Lithium stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Argentina Lithium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Argentina Lithium stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Argentina Lithium Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 41482.4 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6667 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.15 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.14 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.025 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 |
Argentina Lithium Risk Indicators
The analysis of Argentina Lithium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Argentina Lithium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting argentina stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.51 | |||
| Variance | 72.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 116.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 43.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Argentina Lithium
The number of cover stories for Argentina Lithium depends on current market conditions and Argentina Lithium's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Argentina Lithium is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Argentina Lithium's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Argentina Stock Analysis
When running Argentina Lithium's price analysis, check to measure Argentina Lithium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Argentina Lithium is operating at the current time. Most of Argentina Lithium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Argentina Lithium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Argentina Lithium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Argentina Lithium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.