Ledyard Financial OTC Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

LFGP Stock  USD 15.00  0.02  0.13%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ledyard Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 15.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.30. Ledyard OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Ledyard Financial's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Ledyard Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ledyard Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ledyard Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ledyard Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ledyard Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ledyard Financial Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Ledyard Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ledyard Financial Group from the perspective of Ledyard Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ledyard Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 15.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.30.

Ledyard Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ledyard Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Ledyard Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ledyard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ledyard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ledyard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Ledyard Financial - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Ledyard Financial prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Ledyard Financial price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Ledyard Financial.

Ledyard Financial Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ledyard Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 15.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ledyard OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ledyard Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ledyard Financial OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ledyard FinancialLedyard Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ledyard Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ledyard Financial's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ledyard Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.73 and 16.27, respectively. We have considered Ledyard Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.00
15.00
Expected Value
16.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ledyard Financial otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ledyard Financial otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0197
MADMean absolute deviation0.1068
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0074
SAESum of the absolute errors6.3
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Ledyard Financial observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Ledyard Financial Group observations.

Predictive Modules for Ledyard Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ledyard Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.7315.0016.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9912.2616.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.5014.8615.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ledyard Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ledyard Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ledyard Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ledyard Financial.

Other Forecasting Options for Ledyard Financial

For every potential investor in Ledyard, whether a beginner or expert, Ledyard Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ledyard OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ledyard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ledyard Financial's price trends.

Ledyard Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ledyard Financial otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ledyard Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ledyard Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ledyard Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ledyard Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ledyard Financial's current price.

Ledyard Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ledyard Financial otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ledyard Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ledyard Financial otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ledyard Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ledyard Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ledyard Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ledyard Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ledyard otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Ledyard Financial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ledyard Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ledyard Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Ledyard OTC Stock

  0.65MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Normal TradingPairCorr
  0.63MBFJF Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Normal TradingPairCorr
  0.74SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui FinancialPairCorr
  0.75SMFNF Sumitomo Mitsui FinancialPairCorr

Moving against Ledyard OTC Stock

  0.73HD Home DepotPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ledyard Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ledyard Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ledyard Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ledyard Financial Group to buy it.
The correlation of Ledyard Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ledyard Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ledyard Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ledyard Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Ledyard OTC Stock Analysis

When running Ledyard Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ledyard Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ledyard Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ledyard Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ledyard Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ledyard Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ledyard Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.