Lycos Energy Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| LCX Stock | 0.81 0.01 1.25% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lycos Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23. Lycos Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of Lycos Energy's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lycos Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lycos Energy from the perspective of Lycos Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lycos Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23. Lycos Energy after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lycos |
Lycos Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lycos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lycos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lycos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Lycos Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lycos Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lycos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lycos Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lycos Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lycos Energy | Lycos Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lycos Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lycos Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lycos Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.68, respectively. We have considered Lycos Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lycos Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lycos Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.322 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0142 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0378 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0547 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.23 |
Predictive Modules for Lycos Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lycos Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lycos Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lycos Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lycos Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lycos Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lycos Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lycos Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lycos Energy's historical news coverage. Lycos Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 8.58, respectively. We have considered Lycos Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lycos Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lycos Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lycos Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lycos Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lycos Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lycos Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 7.87 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.81 | 0.71 | 12.35 |
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Lycos Energy Hype Timeline
Lycos Energy is now traded for 0.81on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Lycos is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -12.35%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Lycos Energy is about 8432.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.84. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.31. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lycos Energy recorded a loss per share of 1.19. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The firm had 1:8 split on the 1st of September 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lycos Energy to cross-verify your projections.Lycos Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lycos Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lycos Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Lycos Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lycos Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BR | Big Rock Brewery | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.32 | (5.56) | 18.02 | |
| CVS | CVS HEALTH CDR | 0.47 | 1 per month | 1.58 | (0.03) | 2.40 | (2.29) | 6.62 | |
| UNH | UnitedHealth Group CDR | (0.30) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.64 | (2.29) | 7.14 | |
| NPTH | NeuPath Health | 0.00 | 1 per month | 2.59 | 0.18 | 8.51 | (4.88) | 24.01 | |
| USA | Americas Silver Corp | 0.26 | 7 per month | 3.17 | 0.27 | 8.70 | (5.74) | 18.10 | |
| PRU | Perseus Mining | 0.09 | 8 per month | 1.62 | 0.22 | 4.01 | (2.91) | 9.69 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lycos Energy
For every potential investor in Lycos, whether a beginner or expert, Lycos Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lycos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lycos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lycos Energy's price trends.Lycos Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lycos Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lycos Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lycos Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lycos Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lycos Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lycos Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lycos Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lycos Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lycos Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lycos Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lycos Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lycos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.87 | |||
| Variance | 61.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lycos Energy
The number of cover stories for Lycos Energy depends on current market conditions and Lycos Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lycos Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lycos Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Lycos Stock Analysis
When running Lycos Energy's price analysis, check to measure Lycos Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lycos Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Lycos Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lycos Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lycos Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lycos Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.