Jakarta Int Stock Forward View

JIHD Stock  IDR 525.00  5.00  0.94%   
Jakarta Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Jakarta Int's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jakarta Int's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jakarta Int Hotels, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Jakarta Int hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jakarta Int Hotels from the perspective of Jakarta Int response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jakarta Int Hotels on the next trading day is expected to be 497.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 19.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,234.

Jakarta Int after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 525.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jakarta Int to cross-verify your projections.

Jakarta Int Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jakarta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jakarta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jakarta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Jakarta Int is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Jakarta Int Hotels value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Jakarta Int Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jakarta Int Hotels on the next trading day is expected to be 497.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 19.90, mean absolute percentage error of 817.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,234.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jakarta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jakarta Int's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jakarta Int Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jakarta Int  Jakarta Int Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Jakarta Int Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jakarta Int's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jakarta Int's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 493.33 and 501.70, respectively. We have considered Jakarta Int's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
525.00
493.33
Downside
497.51
Expected Value
501.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jakarta Int stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jakarta Int stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.6545
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation19.8986
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0334
SAESum of the absolute errors1233.7149
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Jakarta Int Hotels. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Jakarta Int. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Jakarta Int

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jakarta Int Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
520.82525.00529.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
481.97486.15577.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
501.90588.20674.50
Details

Jakarta Int After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Jakarta Int at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jakarta Int or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jakarta Int, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Jakarta Int Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Jakarta Int's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jakarta Int's historical news coverage. Jakarta Int's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 520.82 and 529.18, respectively. We have considered Jakarta Int's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
525.00
520.82
Downside
525.00
After-hype Price
529.18
Upside
Jakarta Int is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jakarta Int Hotels is based on 3 months time horizon.

Jakarta Int Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jakarta Int is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jakarta Int backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jakarta Int, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
4.18
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
525.00
525.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Jakarta Int Hype Timeline

Jakarta Int Hotels is currently traded for 525.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Jakarta is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jakarta Int is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 525.00. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Jakarta Int Hotels recorded a loss per share of 31.24. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of July 1997. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jakarta Int to cross-verify your projections.

Jakarta Int Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Jakarta Int's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jakarta Int's future price movements. Getting to know how Jakarta Int's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jakarta Int may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PSKTRed Planet Indonesia 0.00 0 per month 5.99  0.11  16.54 (10.00) 49.27 
ARTAArthavest Tbk 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 10.57 (5.88) 24.54 
FITTHotel Fitra International 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 14.58 (8.89) 31.50 
SHIDHotel Sahid Jaya 0.00 0 per month 1.70 (0.02) 2.30 (2.22) 12.93 
NATOSurya Permata Andalan 0.00 0 per month 3.35  0.34  24.42 (9.09) 48.94 
INDORoyalindo Investa Wijaya 0.00 0 per month 5.45  0.04  10.29 (14.47) 39.77 
INDSIndospring Tbk 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.37  24.35 (0.88) 25.00 
BIKESepeda Bersama Indonesia 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.44) 1.81 (5.04) 12.84 
TRSTTrias Sentosa Tbk 0.00 0 per month 2.24 (0.02) 5.53 (3.91) 14.94 
PMJSPutra Mandiri Jembar 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 1.75 (2.56) 7.37 

Other Forecasting Options for Jakarta Int

For every potential investor in Jakarta, whether a beginner or expert, Jakarta Int's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jakarta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jakarta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jakarta Int's price trends.

Jakarta Int Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jakarta Int stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jakarta Int could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jakarta Int by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jakarta Int Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jakarta Int stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jakarta Int shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jakarta Int stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jakarta Int Hotels entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jakarta Int Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jakarta Int's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jakarta Int's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jakarta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Jakarta Int

The number of cover stories for Jakarta Int depends on current market conditions and Jakarta Int's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jakarta Int is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jakarta Int's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Jakarta Int Short Properties

Jakarta Int's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jakarta Int's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jakarta Int Hotels often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jakarta Int's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jakarta Int's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments299.6 B

Other Information on Investing in Jakarta Stock

Jakarta Int financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jakarta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jakarta with respect to the benefits of owning Jakarta Int security.