Indofood Agri Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| INDFY Stock | USD 13.20 0.00 0.00% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Indofood Agri Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 13.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.70. Indofood Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength index (RSI) of Indofood Agri's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Indofood Agri hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Indofood Agri Resources from the perspective of Indofood Agri response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Indofood Agri Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 13.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.70. Indofood Agri after-hype prediction price | USD 13.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Indofood |
Indofood Agri Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Indofood price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Indofood using various technical indicators. When you analyze Indofood charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Indofood Agri Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Indofood Agri Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 13.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Indofood Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Indofood Agri's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Indofood Agri Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Indofood Agri | Indofood Agri Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Indofood Agri Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Indofood Agri's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Indofood Agri's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.16 and 15.87, respectively. We have considered Indofood Agri's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Indofood Agri pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Indofood Agri pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7607 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2082 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.7018 |
Predictive Modules for Indofood Agri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indofood Agri Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Indofood Agri After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Indofood Agri at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Indofood Agri or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Indofood Agri, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Indofood Agri Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Indofood Agri's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Indofood Agri's historical news coverage. Indofood Agri's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.85 and 15.55, respectively. We have considered Indofood Agri's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Indofood Agri is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Indofood Agri Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Indofood Agri Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Indofood Agri is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Indofood Agri backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Indofood Agri, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.20 | 13.20 | 0.00 |
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Indofood Agri Hype Timeline
Indofood Agri Resources is currently traded for 13.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Indofood is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Indofood Agri is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.20. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.4. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Indofood Agri Resources last dividend was issued on the 5th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Indofood Agri to cross-verify your projections.Indofood Agri Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Indofood Agri's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Indofood Agri's future price movements. Getting to know how Indofood Agri's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Indofood Agri may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NPRFF | Nepra Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.08 | 0.02 | 23.61 | (20.09) | 71.45 | |
| BABB | BAB Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.87 | (0.02) | 4.88 | (5.75) | 17.58 | |
| INBP | Integrated Biopharma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.90 | 0.05 | 9.68 | (6.45) | 24.49 | |
| HIGR | Hi Great Group Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 21.75 | 0.19 | 98.02 | (73.87) | 531.82 | |
| LNLHF | LeanLife Health | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HNFSA | Hanover Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 3.77 | |
| EWLU | Merion Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PURE | Pure Bioscience | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 20.00 | (16.67) | 45.00 | |
| NGTF | NightFood Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.72 | 0.05 | 19.63 | (16.67) | 83.54 | |
| HERB | Yasheng Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 16.28 | 0.14 | 70.91 | (36.60) | 123.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for Indofood Agri
For every potential investor in Indofood, whether a beginner or expert, Indofood Agri's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Indofood Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Indofood. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Indofood Agri's price trends.Indofood Agri Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Indofood Agri pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Indofood Agri could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Indofood Agri by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Indofood Agri Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Indofood Agri pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Indofood Agri shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Indofood Agri pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Indofood Agri Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Indofood Agri Risk Indicators
The analysis of Indofood Agri's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Indofood Agri's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting indofood pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5929 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Variance | 5.54 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Indofood Agri
The number of cover stories for Indofood Agri depends on current market conditions and Indofood Agri's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Indofood Agri is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Indofood Agri's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Indofood Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Indofood Agri's price analysis, check to measure Indofood Agri's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Indofood Agri is operating at the current time. Most of Indofood Agri's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Indofood Agri's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Indofood Agri's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Indofood Agri to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.