Imperial Petroleum Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| IMPP Stock | USD 3.67 0.04 1.08% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Imperial Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 3.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.79. Imperial Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Imperial Petroleum's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Imperial Petroleum's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Imperial Petroleum fundamentals over time.
Imperial |
Imperial Petroleum 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Imperial Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 3.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Imperial Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Imperial Petroleum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Imperial Petroleum Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Imperial Petroleum | Imperial Petroleum Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Imperial Petroleum Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Imperial Petroleum's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Imperial Petroleum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.57 and 6.00, respectively. We have considered Imperial Petroleum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Imperial Petroleum stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Imperial Petroleum stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 79.7583 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0746 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1616 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0413 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.7875 |
Predictive Modules for Imperial Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imperial Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Imperial Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Imperial Petroleum
For every potential investor in Imperial, whether a beginner or expert, Imperial Petroleum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Imperial Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Imperial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Imperial Petroleum's price trends.Imperial Petroleum Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Imperial Petroleum stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Imperial Petroleum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Imperial Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Imperial Petroleum Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Imperial Petroleum's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Imperial Petroleum's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Imperial Petroleum Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Imperial Petroleum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Imperial Petroleum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Imperial Petroleum stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Imperial Petroleum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2890.38 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.66 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
Imperial Petroleum Risk Indicators
The analysis of Imperial Petroleum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Imperial Petroleum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imperial stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Additional Tools for Imperial Stock Analysis
When running Imperial Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Imperial Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Imperial Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Imperial Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Imperial Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Imperial Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Imperial Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.