IMCD NV OTC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| IMCDY Stock | USD 45.92 0.60 1.32% |
IMCD OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of IMCD NV's share price is approaching 47. This usually indicates that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling IMCD NV, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of IMCD NV based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using IMCD NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IMCD NV from the perspective of IMCD NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of IMCD NV on the next trading day is expected to be 44.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.11. IMCD NV after-hype prediction price | USD 45.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
IMCD |
IMCD NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IMCD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IMCD using various technical indicators. When you analyze IMCD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IMCD NV Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of IMCD NV on the next trading day is expected to be 44.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 0.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IMCD OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IMCD NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IMCD NV OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IMCD NV | IMCD NV Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
IMCD NV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IMCD NV's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IMCD NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.03 and 46.61, respectively. We have considered IMCD NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IMCD NV otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IMCD NV otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0218 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7067 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0156 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.1075 |
Predictive Modules for IMCD NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IMCD NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IMCD NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IMCD NV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IMCD NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IMCD NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of IMCD NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IMCD NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IMCD NV's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IMCD NV's historical news coverage. IMCD NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.63 and 48.21, respectively. We have considered IMCD NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IMCD NV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IMCD NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
IMCD NV OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as IMCD NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IMCD NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IMCD NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.29 | 0.00 | 1.02 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
45.92 | 45.92 | 0.00 |
|
IMCD NV Hype Timeline
IMCD NV is currently traded for 45.92. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -1.02. IMCD is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on IMCD NV is about 51.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.90. The company last dividend was issued on the 24th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IMCD NV to cross-verify your projections.IMCD NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IMCD NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IMCD NV's future price movements. Getting to know how IMCD NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IMCD NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHWDF | Showa Denko KK | 0.18 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FUPBY | Fuchs Petrolub SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.52 | (0.04) | 3.41 | (2.38) | 8.05 | |
| FUPPF | Fuchs Petrolub SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.19 | |
| SOMMY | Sumitomo Chemical Co | (0.02) | 8 per month | 1.66 | (0.01) | 3.23 | (3.18) | 7.90 | |
| BCHMF | Bachem Holding AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.96 | |
| COIHY | Croda International PLC | 2.01 | 55 per month | 1.46 | (0.05) | 2.25 | (2.59) | 6.40 | |
| ARKAF | Arkema SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.51 | |
| SHWDY | Showa Denko KK | (46.50) | 2 per month | 1.97 | 0.13 | 8.20 | (4.35) | 18.39 | |
| TOSCF | Tosoh | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| COIHF | Croda International Plc | 0.18 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | (1.71) | 5.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for IMCD NV
For every potential investor in IMCD, whether a beginner or expert, IMCD NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IMCD OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IMCD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IMCD NV's price trends.IMCD NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IMCD NV otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IMCD NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IMCD NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IMCD NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IMCD NV otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IMCD NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IMCD NV otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IMCD NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
IMCD NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of IMCD NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IMCD NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imcd otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Variance | 4.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IMCD NV
The number of cover stories for IMCD NV depends on current market conditions and IMCD NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IMCD NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IMCD NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
IMCD NV Short Properties
IMCD NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when IMCD NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IMCD NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IMCD NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IMCD NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 58.1 M | |
| Shares Float | 111.9 M |
Additional Tools for IMCD OTC Stock Analysis
When running IMCD NV's price analysis, check to measure IMCD NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IMCD NV is operating at the current time. Most of IMCD NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IMCD NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IMCD NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IMCD NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.