INTERCONT HOTELS Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

IC1B Stock  EUR 113.00  2.00  1.80%   
INTERCONT Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of INTERCONT HOTELS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 31st of January 2026, the value of RSI of INTERCONT HOTELS's share price is approaching 48. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling INTERCONT HOTELS, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of INTERCONT HOTELS's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of INTERCONT HOTELS and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from INTERCONT HOTELS's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with INTERCONT HOTELS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using INTERCONT HOTELS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of INTERCONT HOTELS from the perspective of INTERCONT HOTELS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of INTERCONT HOTELS on the next trading day is expected to be 118.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.89.

INTERCONT HOTELS after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 113.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of INTERCONT HOTELS to cross-verify your projections.

INTERCONT HOTELS Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine INTERCONT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for INTERCONT using various technical indicators. When you analyze INTERCONT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through INTERCONT HOTELS price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

INTERCONT HOTELS Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of INTERCONT HOTELS on the next trading day is expected to be 118.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.56, mean absolute percentage error of 10.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict INTERCONT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that INTERCONT HOTELS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

INTERCONT HOTELS Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest INTERCONT HOTELS  INTERCONT HOTELS Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

INTERCONT HOTELS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting INTERCONT HOTELS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. INTERCONT HOTELS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 117.30 and 120.58, respectively. We have considered INTERCONT HOTELS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
113.00
117.30
Downside
118.94
Expected Value
120.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of INTERCONT HOTELS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent INTERCONT HOTELS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.4251
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.5556
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0224
SAESum of the absolute errors155.8921
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as INTERCONT HOTELS historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for INTERCONT HOTELS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INTERCONT HOTELS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.36113.00114.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.7095.34124.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
111.40116.83122.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as INTERCONT HOTELS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against INTERCONT HOTELS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, INTERCONT HOTELS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in INTERCONT HOTELS.

INTERCONT HOTELS After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of INTERCONT HOTELS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in INTERCONT HOTELS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of INTERCONT HOTELS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

INTERCONT HOTELS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting INTERCONT HOTELS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on INTERCONT HOTELS's historical news coverage. INTERCONT HOTELS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 111.36 and 114.64, respectively. We have considered INTERCONT HOTELS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
113.00
111.36
Downside
113.00
After-hype Price
114.64
Upside
INTERCONT HOTELS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of INTERCONT HOTELS is based on 3 months time horizon.

INTERCONT HOTELS Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as INTERCONT HOTELS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading INTERCONT HOTELS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with INTERCONT HOTELS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.64
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
113.00
113.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

INTERCONT HOTELS Hype Timeline

INTERCONT HOTELS is currently traded for 113.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. INTERCONT is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on INTERCONT HOTELS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 113.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.19. INTERCONT HOTELS last dividend was issued on the 2nd of April 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of INTERCONT HOTELS to cross-verify your projections.

INTERCONT HOTELS Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to INTERCONT HOTELS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict INTERCONT HOTELS's future price movements. Getting to know how INTERCONT HOTELS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how INTERCONT HOTELS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for INTERCONT HOTELS

For every potential investor in INTERCONT, whether a beginner or expert, INTERCONT HOTELS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. INTERCONT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in INTERCONT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying INTERCONT HOTELS's price trends.

INTERCONT HOTELS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with INTERCONT HOTELS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of INTERCONT HOTELS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing INTERCONT HOTELS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

INTERCONT HOTELS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how INTERCONT HOTELS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading INTERCONT HOTELS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying INTERCONT HOTELS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify INTERCONT HOTELS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

INTERCONT HOTELS Risk Indicators

The analysis of INTERCONT HOTELS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in INTERCONT HOTELS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intercont stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for INTERCONT HOTELS

The number of cover stories for INTERCONT HOTELS depends on current market conditions and INTERCONT HOTELS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that INTERCONT HOTELS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about INTERCONT HOTELS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

INTERCONT HOTELS Short Properties

INTERCONT HOTELS's future price predictability will typically decrease when INTERCONT HOTELS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of INTERCONT HOTELS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential INTERCONT HOTELS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. INTERCONT HOTELS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares174.92M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month9

Other Information on Investing in INTERCONT Stock

INTERCONT HOTELS financial ratios help investors to determine whether INTERCONT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INTERCONT with respect to the benefits of owning INTERCONT HOTELS security.