Henry Schein Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

HS2 Stock  EUR 61.82  0.68  1.09%   
Henry Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Henry Schein's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Henry Schein's share price is approaching 46. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Henry Schein, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Henry Schein's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Henry Schein and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Henry Schein's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Henry Schein, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Henry Schein's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.077
Wall Street Target Price
83.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.052
Using Henry Schein hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Henry Schein from the perspective of Henry Schein response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Henry Schein on the next trading day is expected to be 61.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.35.

Henry Schein after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 61.82  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Henry Schein to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Henry Stock please use our How to Invest in Henry Schein guide.

Henry Schein Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Henry price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Henry using various technical indicators. When you analyze Henry charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Henry Schein - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Henry Schein prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Henry Schein price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Henry Schein.

Henry Schein Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Henry Schein on the next trading day is expected to be 61.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85, mean absolute percentage error of 1.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Henry Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Henry Schein's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Henry Schein Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Henry Schein  Henry Schein Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Henry Schein Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Henry Schein's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Henry Schein's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.52 and 63.81, respectively. We have considered Henry Schein's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
61.82
61.66
Expected Value
63.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Henry Schein stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Henry Schein stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2113
MADMean absolute deviation0.8533
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0134
SAESum of the absolute errors50.3454
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Henry Schein observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Henry Schein observations.

Predictive Modules for Henry Schein

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Henry Schein. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.6961.8263.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.6472.1874.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
62.0265.4868.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.790.921.02
Details

Henry Schein After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Henry Schein at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Henry Schein or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Henry Schein, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Henry Schein Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Henry Schein's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Henry Schein's historical news coverage. Henry Schein's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.69 and 63.95, respectively. We have considered Henry Schein's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
61.82
61.82
After-hype Price
63.95
Upside
Henry Schein is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Henry Schein is based on 3 months time horizon.

Henry Schein Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Henry Schein is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Henry Schein backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Henry Schein, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
2.14
  13.66 
  0.02 
7 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
61.82
61.82
0.00 
3.29  
Notes

Henry Schein Hype Timeline

Henry Schein is currently traded for 61.82on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -13.66, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Henry is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 3.29%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Henry Schein is about 1920.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.84. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Henry Schein was currently reported as 23.67. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.68. Henry Schein had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 15th of September 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Henry Schein to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Henry Stock please use our How to Invest in Henry Schein guide.

Henry Schein Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Henry Schein's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Henry Schein's future price movements. Getting to know how Henry Schein's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Henry Schein may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Henry Schein

For every potential investor in Henry, whether a beginner or expert, Henry Schein's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Henry Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Henry. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Henry Schein's price trends.

Henry Schein Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Henry Schein stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Henry Schein could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Henry Schein by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Henry Schein Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Henry Schein stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Henry Schein shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Henry Schein stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Henry Schein entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Henry Schein Risk Indicators

The analysis of Henry Schein's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Henry Schein's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting henry stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Henry Schein

The number of cover stories for Henry Schein depends on current market conditions and Henry Schein's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Henry Schein is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Henry Schein's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether Henry Schein offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Henry Schein's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Henry Schein Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Henry Schein Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Henry Schein to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Henry Stock please use our How to Invest in Henry Schein guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Henry Schein's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Henry Schein is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Henry Schein's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.