Galexxy Holdings Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GXXY Stock  USD 0  0.00  0.00%   
Galexxy Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Galexxy Holdings' share price is below 30 at this time. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Galexxy Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 25

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Galexxy Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Galexxy Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Galexxy Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Galexxy Holdings from the perspective of Galexxy Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Galexxy Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.

Galexxy Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0044  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Galexxy Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Galexxy Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Galexxy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Galexxy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Galexxy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Galexxy Holdings simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Galexxy Holdings are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Galexxy Holdings prices get older.

Galexxy Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Galexxy Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000022, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Galexxy Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Galexxy Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Galexxy Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Galexxy Holdings  Galexxy Holdings Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Galexxy Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Galexxy Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Galexxy Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000044 and 18.54, respectively. We have considered Galexxy Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0.000044
Downside
0
Expected Value
18.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Galexxy Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Galexxy Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.9293
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0522
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0098
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Galexxy Holdings forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Galexxy Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Galexxy Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galexxy Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Galexxy Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00018.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00018.70
Details

Galexxy Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Galexxy Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Galexxy Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Galexxy Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Galexxy Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Galexxy Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Galexxy Holdings' historical news coverage. Galexxy Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 18.70, respectively. We have considered Galexxy Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0
0
After-hype Price
18.70
Upside
Galexxy Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Galexxy Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Galexxy Holdings Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Galexxy Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Galexxy Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Galexxy Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.77 
18.54
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0
0
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Galexxy Holdings Hype Timeline

Galexxy Holdings is currently traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Galexxy is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.77%. %. The volatility of related hype on Galexxy Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.0. Galexxy Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Galexxy Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Galexxy Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Galexxy Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Galexxy Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Galexxy Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Galexxy Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EXMTAnything Tech Media 0.00 0 per month 11.86  0.09  33.33 (25.00) 133.33 
CBDYTarget Group 0.00 0 per month 10.49  0.03  28.57 (26.32) 62.38 
LVVEFYooma Wellness 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ALIDAllied Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  95.50 
SRUTFSproutly Canada 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MJNAMedical Marijuana I 0.00 0 per month 19.49  0.18  100.00 (50.00) 266.67 
BMCSBiotech Medics Ne 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.27 (3.80) 93.73 
CPMDCannaPharmaRx 0.00 0 per month 9.73  0.05  25.00 (20.75) 105.68 
BMMJBody And Mind 0.00 0 per month 19.48  0.05  48.57 (32.31) 121.50 
BINPBionoid Pharma 0.00 0 per month 14.01  0.15  35.00 (36.36) 176.17 

Other Forecasting Options for Galexxy Holdings

For every potential investor in Galexxy, whether a beginner or expert, Galexxy Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Galexxy Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Galexxy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Galexxy Holdings' price trends.

Galexxy Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Galexxy Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Galexxy Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Galexxy Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Galexxy Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Galexxy Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Galexxy Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Galexxy Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Galexxy Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Galexxy Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Galexxy Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Galexxy Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting galexxy pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Galexxy Holdings

The number of cover stories for Galexxy Holdings depends on current market conditions and Galexxy Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Galexxy Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Galexxy Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Galexxy Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Galexxy Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Galexxy Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galexxy Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Galexxy Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galexxy Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galexxy Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galexxy Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.