Genius Stock Forward View
| GNS Stock | USD 0.52 0.01 1.89% |
Genius Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Genius' share price is approaching 39. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Genius, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.33) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.08) | Wall Street Target Price 3.4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.44) |
Using Genius hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genius Group from the perspective of Genius response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Genius Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genius Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.97.Genius Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Genius' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Genius. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Genius can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Genius Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Genius' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Genius.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genius Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.97. Genius after-hype prediction price | USD 0.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genius to cross-verify your projections. Genius Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Genius price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genius using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genius charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Genius' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2019-03-31 | Previous Quarter 2.7 M | Current Value 2.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 2.6 M |
Genius Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genius Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Genius Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Genius' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Genius Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Genius | Genius Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Genius Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Genius' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Genius' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.58, respectively. We have considered Genius' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Genius stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Genius stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9671 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0323 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0469 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.973 |
Predictive Modules for Genius
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genius Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Genius After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Genius at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genius or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Genius, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Genius Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Genius' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genius' historical news coverage. Genius' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 5.56, respectively. We have considered Genius' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Genius is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genius Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Genius Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Genius is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genius backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genius, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 5.07 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.52 | 0.52 | 0.00 |
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Genius Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Genius Group is traded for 0.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Genius is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.51%. %. The volatility of related hype on Genius is about 101400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.52. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Genius Group recorded a loss per share of 0.55. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 16th of August 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genius to cross-verify your projections.Genius Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Genius' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genius' future price movements. Getting to know how Genius' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genius may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LFS | LEIFRAS Co Ltd | 0.34 | 3 per month | 10.80 | 0.09 | 25.93 | (22.92) | 617.95 | |
| YQ | 17 Education Technology | (0.04) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.01 | (10.00) | 27.82 | |
| STG | Sunlands Technology Group | (0.03) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.03 | (7.69) | 34.54 | |
| DTCK | Davis Commodities Limited | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 24.31 | (22.00) | 144.78 | |
| ATPC | Agape ATP | (0.01) | 9 per month | 16.44 | 0.01 | 13.95 | (20.91) | 189.71 | |
| BRID | Bridgford Foods | 0.13 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.12 | (4.00) | 12.93 | |
| JZ | Jianzhi Education Technology | (0.45) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.38 | (8.59) | 34.43 | |
| LOCL | Local Bounti Corp | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.22 | (6.46) | 21.33 | |
| GROV | Virgin Group Acquisition | (0.1) | 6 per month | 3.05 | 0.03 | 5.26 | (4.41) | 17.64 | |
| DDC | DDC Enterprise Limited | 0.34 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 9.01 | (17.73) | 43.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Genius
For every potential investor in Genius, whether a beginner or expert, Genius' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genius Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genius. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genius' price trends.Genius Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genius stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genius could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genius by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Genius Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genius stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genius shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genius stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Genius Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Genius Risk Indicators
The analysis of Genius' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genius' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genius stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.93 | |||
| Variance | 24.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Genius
The number of cover stories for Genius depends on current market conditions and Genius' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genius is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genius' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Genius Short Properties
Genius' future price predictability will typically decrease when Genius' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Genius Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Genius' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genius' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 M |
Additional Tools for Genius Stock Analysis
When running Genius' price analysis, check to measure Genius' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genius is operating at the current time. Most of Genius' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genius' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genius' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genius to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.