Gabelli MultiMedia Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GGT Stock | USD 4.18 0.05 1.18% |
Gabelli Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Gabelli MultiMedia's share price is at 56. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gabelli MultiMedia, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.588 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.108 |
Using Gabelli MultiMedia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gabelli MultiMedia Mutual from the perspective of Gabelli MultiMedia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gabelli MultiMedia Mutual on the next trading day is expected to be 4.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.04. Gabelli MultiMedia after-hype prediction price | USD 4.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gabelli MultiMedia to cross-verify your projections. Gabelli MultiMedia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gabelli price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gabelli using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gabelli charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Gabelli MultiMedia's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2006-12-31 | Previous Quarter 4.9 K | Current Value 6.7 K | Quarterly Volatility 80.5 K |
Gabelli MultiMedia Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gabelli MultiMedia Mutual on the next trading day is expected to be 4.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gabelli Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gabelli MultiMedia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gabelli MultiMedia Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gabelli MultiMedia | Gabelli MultiMedia Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Gabelli MultiMedia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gabelli MultiMedia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gabelli MultiMedia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.09 and 5.37, respectively. We have considered Gabelli MultiMedia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gabelli MultiMedia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gabelli MultiMedia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7696 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0329 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0082 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0368 |
Predictive Modules for Gabelli MultiMedia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabelli MultiMedia Mutual. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gabelli MultiMedia After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gabelli MultiMedia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gabelli MultiMedia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gabelli MultiMedia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gabelli MultiMedia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gabelli MultiMedia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gabelli MultiMedia's historical news coverage. Gabelli MultiMedia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.05 and 5.31, respectively. We have considered Gabelli MultiMedia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gabelli MultiMedia is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gabelli MultiMedia Mutual is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gabelli MultiMedia Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gabelli MultiMedia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gabelli MultiMedia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gabelli MultiMedia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.18 | 4.18 | 0.00 |
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Gabelli MultiMedia Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Gabelli MultiMedia Mutual is traded for 4.18. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gabelli is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gabelli MultiMedia is about 14657.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.18. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gabelli MultiMedia Mutual last dividend was issued on the 12th of February 2026. The entity had 1039:1000 split on the 13th of June 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gabelli MultiMedia to cross-verify your projections.Gabelli MultiMedia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gabelli MultiMedia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gabelli MultiMedia's future price movements. Getting to know how Gabelli MultiMedia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gabelli MultiMedia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GRX | Gabelli Healthcare WellnessRx | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.67 | 0.02 | 1.46 | (1.08) | 4.07 | |
| BCV | Bancroft Fund Limited | (0.10) | 9 per month | 1.04 | 0.02 | 2.16 | (2.11) | 6.32 | |
| DNMDX | Dunham Monthly Distribution | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.70) | 0.14 | (0.10) | 0.31 | |
| DMO | Western Asset Mortgage | 0.04 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.96 | (1.19) | 3.82 | |
| BWG | Brandywineglobal Globalome Opportunities | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.53 | (0.09) | 1.08 | (0.96) | 3.03 | |
| ICPAX | Williston Basinmid North America | 0.03 | 1 per month | 1.02 | 0.07 | 1.86 | (1.96) | 4.50 | |
| RYDVX | Royce Dividend Value | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.79 | (1.69) | 66.24 | |
| OCMAX | Ocm Mutual Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.30 | 4.36 | (3.18) | 8.53 | |
| MECDX | Mainstay Epoch Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.47 | 0.09 | 1.21 | (1.19) | 10.45 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gabelli MultiMedia
For every potential investor in Gabelli, whether a beginner or expert, Gabelli MultiMedia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gabelli Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gabelli. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gabelli MultiMedia's price trends.Gabelli MultiMedia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gabelli MultiMedia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gabelli MultiMedia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gabelli MultiMedia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gabelli MultiMedia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gabelli MultiMedia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gabelli MultiMedia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gabelli MultiMedia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gabelli MultiMedia Mutual entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gabelli MultiMedia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gabelli MultiMedia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gabelli MultiMedia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gabelli stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8282 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7969 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Variance | 1.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6351 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gabelli MultiMedia
The number of cover stories for Gabelli MultiMedia depends on current market conditions and Gabelli MultiMedia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gabelli MultiMedia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gabelli MultiMedia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gabelli MultiMedia Short Properties
Gabelli MultiMedia's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gabelli MultiMedia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gabelli MultiMedia Mutual often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gabelli MultiMedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gabelli MultiMedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4928.00 |
Additional Tools for Gabelli Stock Analysis
When running Gabelli MultiMedia's price analysis, check to measure Gabelli MultiMedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gabelli MultiMedia is operating at the current time. Most of Gabelli MultiMedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gabelli MultiMedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gabelli MultiMedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gabelli MultiMedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.