GRIFFIN MINING Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| GG7 Stock | EUR 3.32 0.04 1.19% |
GRIFFIN Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of GRIFFIN MINING's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the value of rsi of GRIFFIN MINING's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using GRIFFIN MINING hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GRIFFIN MINING LTD from the perspective of GRIFFIN MINING response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GRIFFIN MINING LTD on the next trading day is expected to be 3.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.76. GRIFFIN MINING after-hype prediction price | EUR 3.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GRIFFIN |
GRIFFIN MINING Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GRIFFIN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GRIFFIN using various technical indicators. When you analyze GRIFFIN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GRIFFIN MINING Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GRIFFIN MINING LTD on the next trading day is expected to be 3.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GRIFFIN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GRIFFIN MINING's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GRIFFIN MINING Stock Forecast Pattern
GRIFFIN MINING Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GRIFFIN MINING's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GRIFFIN MINING's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.61 and 6.07, respectively. We have considered GRIFFIN MINING's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GRIFFIN MINING stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GRIFFIN MINING stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0151 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0637 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.023 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.7592 |
Predictive Modules for GRIFFIN MINING
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GRIFFIN MINING LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GRIFFIN MINING Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of GRIFFIN MINING at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GRIFFIN MINING or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GRIFFIN MINING, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GRIFFIN MINING Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GRIFFIN MINING is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GRIFFIN MINING backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GRIFFIN MINING, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.79 | 2.73 | 0.02 | 0.45 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.32 | 3.34 | 0.60 |
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GRIFFIN MINING Hype Timeline
GRIFFIN MINING LTD is currently traded for 3.32on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.45. GRIFFIN is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.79%. The volatility of related hype on GRIFFIN MINING is about 482.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.77. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out fundamental analysis of GRIFFIN MINING to check your projections.GRIFFIN MINING Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GRIFFIN MINING's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GRIFFIN MINING's future price movements. Getting to know how GRIFFIN MINING's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GRIFFIN MINING may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HEI | Heidelberg Materials AG | 2.60 | 6 per month | 1.84 | 0.02 | 3.59 | (2.54) | 13.17 | |
| GTR | GOODYEAR T RUBBER | 0.1 | 8 per month | 1.29 | 0.22 | 4.26 | (2.56) | 15.18 | |
| NWL | Newell Rubbermaid | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.35 | (3.28) | 31.16 | |
| 06S | Sportsmans Warehouse Holdings | 0.10 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 5.36 | (5.85) | 27.31 | |
| D2V | PARKEN Sport Entertainment | 1.10 | 4 per month | 2.38 | 0.05 | 4.82 | (3.74) | 11.86 | |
| TP3 | THRACE PLASTICS | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.38 | (0.02) | 1.80 | (1.04) | 3.37 | |
| KWO | Transport International Holdings | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.54 | (1.82) | 16.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for GRIFFIN MINING
For every potential investor in GRIFFIN, whether a beginner or expert, GRIFFIN MINING's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GRIFFIN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GRIFFIN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GRIFFIN MINING's price trends.GRIFFIN MINING Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GRIFFIN MINING stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GRIFFIN MINING could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GRIFFIN MINING by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GRIFFIN MINING Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GRIFFIN MINING stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GRIFFIN MINING shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GRIFFIN MINING stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GRIFFIN MINING LTD entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.32 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
GRIFFIN MINING Risk Indicators
The analysis of GRIFFIN MINING's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GRIFFIN MINING's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting griffin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Variance | 7.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.73) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GRIFFIN MINING
The number of cover stories for GRIFFIN MINING depends on current market conditions and GRIFFIN MINING's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GRIFFIN MINING is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GRIFFIN MINING's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in GRIFFIN Stock
GRIFFIN MINING financial ratios help investors to determine whether GRIFFIN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GRIFFIN with respect to the benefits of owning GRIFFIN MINING security.