First Financial Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

FFNWDelisted Stock  USD 22.56  0.11  0.49%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of First Financial Northwest on the next trading day is expected to be 22.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.40. First Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
First Financial polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for First Financial Northwest as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

First Financial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of July

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of First Financial Northwest on the next trading day is expected to be 22.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

First Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest First FinancialFirst Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2551
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4492
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0212
SAESum of the absolute errors27.4006
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the First Financial historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for First Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Financial Northwest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.5622.5622.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6118.6124.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.4022.6522.90
Details

First Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

First Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Financial Northwest entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Other Consideration for investing in First Stock

If you are still planning to invest in First Financial Northwest check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the First Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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