FBS Global Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| FBGL Stock | 0.85 0.01 1.16% |
FBS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although FBS Global's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of FBS Global's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of FBS Global fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength momentum indicator of FBS Global's share price is at 52. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FBS Global, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.536 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using FBS Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FBS Global Limited from the perspective of FBS Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FBS Global Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.32. FBS Global after-hype prediction price | USD 0.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FBS Global to cross-verify your projections. FBS Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FBS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FBS using various technical indicators. When you analyze FBS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FBS Global 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FBS Global Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FBS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FBS Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FBS Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FBS Global | FBS Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
FBS Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FBS Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FBS Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.75, respectively. We have considered FBS Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FBS Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FBS Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.0762 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0126 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0407 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.051 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.32 |
Predictive Modules for FBS Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FBS Global Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FBS Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FBS Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FBS Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FBS Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FBS Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FBS Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FBS Global's historical news coverage. FBS Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 6.85, respectively. We have considered FBS Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FBS Global is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FBS Global Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
FBS Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FBS Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FBS Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FBS Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 5.90 | 0.05 | 0.21 | 5 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.85 | 0.90 | 5.88 |
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FBS Global Hype Timeline
FBS Global Limited is currently traded for 0.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. FBS is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 5.88%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.72%. The volatility of related hype on FBS Global is about 2041.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.64. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FBS Global to cross-verify your projections.FBS Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FBS Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FBS Global's future price movements. Getting to know how FBS Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FBS Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FGL | Founder Group Limited | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 20.00 | (13.73) | 59.34 | |
| SKK | PROSHARES ULTRASHORT RUSSELL | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.45 | (6.06) | 16.80 | |
| AEHL | Antelope Enterprise Holdings | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.83 | (18.81) | 134.82 | |
| GLXG | Galaxy Payroll Group | (0.10) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.30 | (14.81) | 53.25 | |
| INTJ | Intelligent Group Limited | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.41 | (10.42) | 29.93 | |
| OP | OP Old | (1.36) | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 10.95 | (19.70) | 52.42 | |
| KITT | Nauticus Robotics | (0.21) | 9 per month | 9.97 | 0 | 15.58 | (16.04) | 141.67 | |
| CVR | Chicago Rivet Machine | (0.31) | 9 per month | 2.72 | 0.14 | 6.82 | (4.16) | 21.37 | |
| DEVS | DevvStream Corp Common | (0.76) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 15.17 | (10.71) | 41.39 | |
| CDTG | CDT Environmental Technology | 0.08 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 14.71 | (16.67) | 48.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for FBS Global
For every potential investor in FBS, whether a beginner or expert, FBS Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FBS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FBS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FBS Global's price trends.FBS Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FBS Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FBS Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FBS Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FBS Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FBS Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FBS Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FBS Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FBS Global Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FBS Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of FBS Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FBS Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fbs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.0 | |||
| Variance | 36.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 42.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 28.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.00) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FBS Global
The number of cover stories for FBS Global depends on current market conditions and FBS Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FBS Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FBS Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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FBS Global Short Properties
FBS Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when FBS Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FBS Global Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FBS Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FBS Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 M | |
| Shares Float | 4.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FBS Global to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FBS Global. If investors know FBS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FBS Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.536 | Earnings Share (0.03) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets |
The market value of FBS Global Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FBS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FBS Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FBS Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FBS Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FBS Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FBS Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FBS Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FBS Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.