Diamondback Energy Stock Forward View
| FANG Stock | USD 163.07 2.80 1.75% |
Diamondback Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Diamondback Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of relative strength index of Diamondback Energy's stock price is roughly 61. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 30th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Diamondback, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.1 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.5856 | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.4997 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.967 | Wall Street Target Price 180.4293 |
Using Diamondback Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diamondback Energy from the perspective of Diamondback Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Diamondback Energy using Diamondback Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Diamondback using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Diamondback Energy's stock price.
Diamondback Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Diamondback Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Diamondback. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Diamondback Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 143.6434 | Short Percent 0.0475 | Short Ratio 4.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.8 M | 50 Day MA 151.0446 |
Diamondback Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Diamondback Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 164.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 143.29.Diamondback Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Diamondback Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Diamondback. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Diamondback can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Diamondback Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Diamondback Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Diamondback Energy.
Diamondback Energy Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Diamondback Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Diamondback Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Diamondback Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Diamondback Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Diamondback Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Diamondback Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 164.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 143.29. Diamondback Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 163.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Diamondback | Build AI portfolio with Diamondback Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Diamondback contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Diamondback Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Diamondback Energy trading at USD 163.07, that is roughly USD 0.0561 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Diamondback Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Diamondback Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Diamondback Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Diamondback Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Diamondback Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Diamondback Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Diamondback Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Diamondback Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Diamondback Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Diamondback. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Diamondback Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Diamondback price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diamondback using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diamondback charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Diamondback Energy Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Diamondback Energy's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2009-12-31 | Previous Quarter 219 M | Current Value 159 M | Quarterly Volatility 940.9 M |
Diamondback Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Diamondback Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 164.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31, mean absolute percentage error of 8.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 143.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diamondback Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diamondback Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Diamondback Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Diamondback Energy | Diamondback Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Diamondback Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Diamondback Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Diamondback Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 163.00 and 166.79, respectively. We have considered Diamondback Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diamondback Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diamondback Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.0369 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.3111 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0154 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 143.288 |
Predictive Modules for Diamondback Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diamondback Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Diamondback Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Diamondback Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Diamondback Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Diamondback Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Diamondback Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Diamondback Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Diamondback Energy's historical news coverage. Diamondback Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 161.18 and 164.96, respectively. We have considered Diamondback Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Diamondback Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diamondback Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Diamondback Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Diamondback Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diamondback Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diamondback Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.90 | 0.37 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
163.07 | 163.07 | 0.00 |
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Diamondback Energy Hype Timeline
Diamondback Energy is currently traded for 163.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Diamondback is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 139.71%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Diamondback Energy is about 3109.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 163.05. About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Diamondback Energy recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.25. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diamondback Energy to cross-verify your projections.Diamondback Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Diamondback Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Diamondback Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Diamondback Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Diamondback Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OKE | ONEOK Inc | (0.35) | 11 per month | 1.26 | 0.12 | 2.45 | (2.33) | 6.82 | |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum | (0.35) | 33 per month | 1.49 | 0.03 | 3.01 | (2.59) | 8.06 | |
| EQT | EQT Corporation | 0.24 | 18 per month | 1.92 | 0.01 | 3.95 | (3.35) | 10.05 | |
| WDS | Woodside Energy Group | 0.24 | 17 per month | 1.50 | 0.07 | 2.35 | (2.17) | 7.90 | |
| LNG | Cheniere Energy | (0.74) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.95 | (2.08) | 4.88 | |
| IMO | Imperial Oil | 0.03 | 4 per month | 1.62 | 0.11 | 2.96 | (2.64) | 8.01 | |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | 1.27 | 24 per month | 0.61 | 0.13 | 2.22 | (1.33) | 3.94 | |
| SU | Suncor Energy | (0.17) | 10 per month | 0.70 | 0.30 | 2.77 | (1.62) | 7.59 | |
| EOG | EOG Resources | (0.72) | 8 per month | 1.28 | 0.03 | 2.49 | (2.27) | 6.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Diamondback Energy
For every potential investor in Diamondback, whether a beginner or expert, Diamondback Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Diamondback Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Diamondback. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Diamondback Energy's price trends.Diamondback Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Diamondback Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Diamondback Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Diamondback Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Diamondback Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Diamondback Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Diamondback Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Diamondback Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Diamondback Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 83688.97 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4973 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 165.67 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 164.8 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.20) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.8 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 61.84 |
Diamondback Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Diamondback Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Diamondback Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting diamondback stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Diamondback Energy
The number of cover stories for Diamondback Energy depends on current market conditions and Diamondback Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Diamondback Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Diamondback Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Diamondback Energy Short Properties
Diamondback Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Diamondback Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Diamondback Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Diamondback Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diamondback Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 213.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 161 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diamondback Energy to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Diamondback Stock please use our How to Invest in Diamondback Energy guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Can Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry sustain growth momentum? Does Diamondback have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diamondback Energy. Market participants price Diamondback higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Diamondback Energy demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.1 | Dividend Share 4 | Earnings Share 14.25 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.42 |
Understanding Diamondback Energy requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Diamondback's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Diamondback Energy's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Diamondback Energy's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diamondback Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diamondback Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Diamondback Energy's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.