Entree Resources OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ERLFF Stock  USD 2.36  0.06  2.61%   
Entree OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Entree Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Entree Resources' otc stock price is roughly 69 suggesting that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Entree, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 69

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Entree Resources stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Entree Resources shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Entree Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Entree Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Entree Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Entree Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Entree Resources based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Entree Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Entree Resources from the perspective of Entree Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Entree Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 2.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.49.

Entree Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Entree Resources to cross-verify your projections.

Entree Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Entree price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Entree using various technical indicators. When you analyze Entree charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Entree Resources simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Entree Resources are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Entree Resources prices get older.

Entree Resources Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Entree Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 2.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Entree OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Entree Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Entree Resources OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Entree Resources  Entree Resources Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Entree Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Entree Resources' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Entree Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.24, respectively. We have considered Entree Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.36
2.36
Expected Value
6.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Entree Resources otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Entree Resources otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.0082
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0147
MADMean absolute deviation0.0415
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0224
SAESum of the absolute errors2.4875
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Entree Resources forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Entree Resources observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Entree Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Entree Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.366.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.536.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Entree Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Entree Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Entree Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Entree Resources.

Entree Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Entree Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Entree Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Entree Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Entree Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Entree Resources' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Entree Resources' historical news coverage. Entree Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 6.21, respectively. We have considered Entree Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.36
2.36
After-hype Price
6.21
Upside
Entree Resources is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Entree Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.

Entree Resources OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Entree Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Entree Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Entree Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.65 
3.88
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.36
2.36
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Entree Resources Hype Timeline

Entree Resources is currently traded for 2.36. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Entree is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.65%. %. The volatility of related hype on Entree Resources is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.36. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.04. Entree Resources had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Entree Resources to cross-verify your projections.

Entree Resources Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Entree Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Entree Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Entree Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Entree Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ERDCFErdene Resource Development 0.00 0 per month 2.54 (0) 5.61 (4.86) 22.06 
NTCPFNorthIsle Copper and 0.00 0 per month 2.64  0.29  12.57 (5.64) 19.64 
CTJHYCITIC Resources Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.00  0.00  25.80 
BENZFBenz Mining Corp 0.00 0 per month 3.11  0.10  8.08 (6.84) 19.47 
WYCCWorry Free Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ECRAFEcora Resources PLC 0.00 0 per month 2.41  0.23  7.01 (5.34) 14.49 
MMILFMetro Mining Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 6.67 (9.18) 58.33 
MRRDFMeridian Mining UK 0.00 0 per month 3.01  0.17  6.58 (5.36) 21.38 
GSCCFioneer 0.00 0 per month 5.33  0.12  11.11 (8.33) 10,917 
AUMTFAurelia Metals Limited 0.00 0 per month 5.74  0.09  20.00 (15.79) 51.82 

Other Forecasting Options for Entree Resources

For every potential investor in Entree, whether a beginner or expert, Entree Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Entree OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Entree. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Entree Resources' price trends.

Entree Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Entree Resources otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Entree Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Entree Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Entree Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Entree Resources otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Entree Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Entree Resources otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Entree Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Entree Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Entree Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Entree Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting entree otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Entree Resources

The number of cover stories for Entree Resources depends on current market conditions and Entree Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Entree Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Entree Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Entree OTC Stock

Entree Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Entree OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Entree with respect to the benefits of owning Entree Resources security.