DGTL Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DGTHF Stock  USD 0.03  0.11  80.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DGTL Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.64. DGTL Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DGTL Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for DGTL Holdings works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

DGTL Holdings Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of October 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DGTL Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DGTL Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DGTL Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DGTL Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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DGTL Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DGTL Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DGTL Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 130.78, respectively. We have considered DGTL Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
130.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DGTL Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DGTL Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0021
MADMean absolute deviation0.0108
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.3918
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6366
When DGTL Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any DGTL Holdings trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent DGTL Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for DGTL Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DGTL Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DGTL Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0351.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0351.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.040.050.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DGTL Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DGTL Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DGTL Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DGTL Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for DGTL Holdings

For every potential investor in DGTL, whether a beginner or expert, DGTL Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DGTL Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DGTL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DGTL Holdings' price trends.

DGTL Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DGTL Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DGTL Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DGTL Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DGTL Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DGTL Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DGTL Holdings' current price.

DGTL Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DGTL Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DGTL Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DGTL Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify DGTL Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DGTL Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of DGTL Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DGTL Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dgtl pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in DGTL Pink Sheet

DGTL Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether DGTL Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DGTL with respect to the benefits of owning DGTL Holdings security.