CITIC Telecom Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CCTTF Stock | USD 0.32 0.00 0.00% |
CITIC Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CITIC Telecom's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of CITIC Telecom's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CITIC Telecom hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CITIC Telecom International from the perspective of CITIC Telecom response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CITIC Telecom International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. CITIC Telecom after-hype prediction price | USD 0.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CITIC |
CITIC Telecom Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CITIC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CITIC using various technical indicators. When you analyze CITIC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CITIC Telecom Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CITIC Telecom International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CITIC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CITIC Telecom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CITIC Telecom Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CITIC Telecom | CITIC Telecom Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CITIC Telecom Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CITIC Telecom's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CITIC Telecom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.32 and 0.32, respectively. We have considered CITIC Telecom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CITIC Telecom pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CITIC Telecom pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 47.3896 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for CITIC Telecom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CITIC Telecom Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CITIC Telecom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CITIC Telecom After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CITIC Telecom at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CITIC Telecom or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of CITIC Telecom, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CITIC Telecom Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CITIC Telecom's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CITIC Telecom's historical news coverage. CITIC Telecom's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.32 and 0.32, respectively. We have considered CITIC Telecom's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CITIC Telecom is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CITIC Telecom Intern is based on 3 months time horizon.
CITIC Telecom Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CITIC Telecom is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CITIC Telecom backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CITIC Telecom, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.32 | 0.32 | 0.00 |
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CITIC Telecom Hype Timeline
CITIC Telecom Intern is currently traded for 0.32. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CITIC is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on CITIC Telecom is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.32. About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.11. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CITIC Telecom Intern had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CITIC Telecom to cross-verify your projections.CITIC Telecom Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CITIC Telecom's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CITIC Telecom's future price movements. Getting to know how CITIC Telecom's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CITIC Telecom may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DLAD | Cabal Communications | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CTMLF | Corporate Travel Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TVCE | TVC Telecom | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| APO-PA | Apollo Global Management | 0.18 | 4 per month | 1.79 | (0) | 2.67 | (3.22) | 9.97 | |
| SPNUF | Spirent Communications plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SMPP | Strategic Management and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DCMDF | DATA Communications Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.68 | 0.1 | 7.07 | (6.80) | 17.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for CITIC Telecom
For every potential investor in CITIC, whether a beginner or expert, CITIC Telecom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CITIC Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CITIC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CITIC Telecom's price trends.CITIC Telecom Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CITIC Telecom pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CITIC Telecom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CITIC Telecom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CITIC Telecom Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CITIC Telecom pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CITIC Telecom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CITIC Telecom pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CITIC Telecom International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for CITIC Telecom
The number of cover stories for CITIC Telecom depends on current market conditions and CITIC Telecom's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CITIC Telecom is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CITIC Telecom's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CITIC Telecom Short Properties
CITIC Telecom's future price predictability will typically decrease when CITIC Telecom's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CITIC Telecom International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CITIC Telecom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CITIC Telecom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.22 | |
| Float Shares | 1.56B | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 75.00% |
Other Information on Investing in CITIC Pink Sheet
CITIC Telecom financial ratios help investors to determine whether CITIC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CITIC with respect to the benefits of owning CITIC Telecom security.