EA Series Etf Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| CAOS Etf | 90.30 0.16 0.18% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EA Series Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 90.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.37. CAOS Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of EA Series' share price is below 20 suggesting that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using EA Series hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EA Series Trust from the perspective of EA Series response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EA Series Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 90.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.37. EA Series after-hype prediction price | USD 90.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EA Series to cross-verify your projections. EA Series Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CAOS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CAOS using various technical indicators. When you analyze CAOS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EA Series Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EA Series Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 90.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CAOS Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EA Series' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EA Series Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest EA Series | EA Series Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
EA Series Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting EA Series' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EA Series' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 90.21 and 90.43, respectively. We have considered EA Series' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EA Series etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EA Series etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0201 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0741 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 8.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.37 |
Predictive Modules for EA Series
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EA Series Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EA Series After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EA Series at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EA Series or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of EA Series, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EA Series Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EA Series' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EA Series' historical news coverage. EA Series' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 90.19 and 90.41, respectively. We have considered EA Series' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EA Series is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EA Series Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
EA Series Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as EA Series is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EA Series backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EA Series, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
90.30 | 90.30 | 0.00 |
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EA Series Hype Timeline
EA Series Trust is currently traded for 90.30. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CAOS is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on EA Series is about 63.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 90.30. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EA Series to cross-verify your projections.EA Series Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EA Series' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EA Series' future price movements. Getting to know how EA Series' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EA Series may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DFVX | Dimensional ETF Trust | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.60 | (0.01) | 1.11 | (1.08) | 3.04 | |
| GMAR | First Trust Exchange Traded | (0.06) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 0.30 | (0.27) | 0.94 | |
| DJUL | FT Cboe Vest | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.19 | (0.23) | 0.45 | (0.45) | 1.61 | |
| AFLG | First Trust Active | 0.19 | 3 per month | 0.71 | (0.06) | 1.19 | (1.27) | 3.26 | |
| DFEB | FT Cboe Vest | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.19 | (0.19) | 0.54 | (0.47) | 1.59 | |
| BITQ | Bitwise Funds Trust | 0.30 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.81 | (6.86) | 18.79 | |
| SRVR | Pacer Benchmark Data | 0.19 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.27 | (1.66) | 3.74 | |
| HAPI | Harbor Corporate Culture | 0.14 | 1 per month | 0.71 | (0.06) | 1.24 | (1.21) | 3.29 | |
| GVIP | Goldman Sachs Hedge | 0.89 | 6 per month | 1.10 | (0) | 1.87 | (1.78) | 5.02 | |
| NUMG | Nuveen ESG Mid Cap | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.54 | (1.93) | 4.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for EA Series
For every potential investor in CAOS, whether a beginner or expert, EA Series' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CAOS Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CAOS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EA Series' price trends.EA Series Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EA Series etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EA Series could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EA Series by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EA Series Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EA Series etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EA Series shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EA Series etf market strength indicators, traders can identify EA Series Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
EA Series Risk Indicators
The analysis of EA Series' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EA Series' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caos etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0761 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.0891 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1147 | |||
| Variance | 0.0132 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0137 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0079 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.1) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for EA Series
The number of cover stories for EA Series depends on current market conditions and EA Series' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EA Series is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EA Series' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EA Series to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
The market value of EA Series Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CAOS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EA Series' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EA Series' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EA Series' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EA Series' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EA Series' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EA Series is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EA Series' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.