B2Gold Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BTG Stock | USD 3.41 0.05 1.45% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of B2Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.26. B2Gold Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of B2Gold Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
B2Gold |
Cash | First Reported 2007-09-30 | Previous Quarter 466.8 M | Current Value 466.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 202.5 M |
B2Gold Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of October
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of B2Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict B2Gold Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that B2Gold Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
B2Gold Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
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B2Gold Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting B2Gold Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. B2Gold Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.49 and 6.76, respectively. We have considered B2Gold Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of B2Gold Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent B2Gold Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0262 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1026 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0357 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.2591 |
Predictive Modules for B2Gold Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as B2Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of B2Gold Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for B2Gold Corp
For every potential investor in B2Gold, whether a beginner or expert, B2Gold Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. B2Gold Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in B2Gold. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying B2Gold Corp's price trends.B2Gold Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with B2Gold Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of B2Gold Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing B2Gold Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
B2Gold Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of B2Gold Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of B2Gold Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
B2Gold Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how B2Gold Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading B2Gold Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying B2Gold Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify B2Gold Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 577863.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.42) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.44 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.43 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 85.76 |
B2Gold Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of B2Gold Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in B2Gold Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting b2gold stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Variance | 9.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether B2Gold Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze B2Gold Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact B2Gold Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding B2Gold Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of B2Gold Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in B2Gold Stock please use our How to Invest in B2Gold Corp guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of B2Gold Corp. If investors know B2Gold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about B2Gold Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Dividend Share 0.16 | Earnings Share (0.12) | Revenue Per Share 1.492 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.046 |
The market value of B2Gold Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of B2Gold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of B2Gold Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is B2Gold Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because B2Gold Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect B2Gold Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between B2Gold Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if B2Gold Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, B2Gold Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.