Hollywood Bowl Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| BOWL Stock | 276.50 1.50 0.54% |
Hollywood Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of Hollywood Bowl's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hollywood Bowl, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.775 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2263 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2412 | Wall Street Target Price 389.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.092 |
Using Hollywood Bowl hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hollywood Bowl Group from the perspective of Hollywood Bowl response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hollywood Bowl Group on the next trading day is expected to be 277.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 166.75. Hollywood Bowl after-hype prediction price | GBX 276.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hollywood |
Hollywood Bowl Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hollywood price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hollywood using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hollywood charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hollywood Bowl Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hollywood Bowl Group on the next trading day is expected to be 277.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.73, mean absolute percentage error of 11.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 166.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hollywood Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hollywood Bowl's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hollywood Bowl Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hollywood Bowl | Hollywood Bowl Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hollywood Bowl Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hollywood Bowl's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hollywood Bowl's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 276.29 and 278.59, respectively. We have considered Hollywood Bowl's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hollywood Bowl stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hollywood Bowl stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.5864 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.7336 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 166.7488 |
Predictive Modules for Hollywood Bowl
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hollywood Bowl Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hollywood Bowl After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hollywood Bowl at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hollywood Bowl or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hollywood Bowl, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hollywood Bowl Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hollywood Bowl's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hollywood Bowl's historical news coverage. Hollywood Bowl's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 275.66 and 277.96, respectively. We have considered Hollywood Bowl's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hollywood Bowl is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hollywood Bowl Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hollywood Bowl Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hollywood Bowl is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hollywood Bowl backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hollywood Bowl, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.15 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
276.50 | 276.81 | 0.11 |
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Hollywood Bowl Hype Timeline
Hollywood Bowl Group is currently traded for 276.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Hollywood is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 276.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 7.42%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Hollywood Bowl is about 547.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 276.50. The company reported the revenue of 250.46 M. Net Income was 34.61 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 156.97 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hollywood Bowl to cross-verify your projections.Hollywood Bowl Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hollywood Bowl's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hollywood Bowl's future price movements. Getting to know how Hollywood Bowl's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hollywood Bowl may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RDT | Rosslyn Data Technologies | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.62 | |
| 0JZZ | Medical Properties Trust | (0.09) | 6 per month | 2.13 | (0.01) | 4.07 | (3.19) | 12.33 | |
| 0Y9S | Check Point Software | (0.56) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.35 | (3.14) | 9.65 | |
| 0LCX | Take Two Interactive Software | (0.63) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.96 | (1.71) | 9.01 | |
| 0A3O | Datadog | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.80 | (3.60) | 11.33 | |
| 0M7V | Sport Lisboa e | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.50 | 0.08 | 4.68 | (1.71) | 8.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hollywood Bowl
For every potential investor in Hollywood, whether a beginner or expert, Hollywood Bowl's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hollywood Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hollywood. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hollywood Bowl's price trends.Hollywood Bowl Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hollywood Bowl stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hollywood Bowl could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hollywood Bowl by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hollywood Bowl Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hollywood Bowl stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hollywood Bowl shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hollywood Bowl stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hollywood Bowl Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 132167.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.11) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 277.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 277.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.75) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.50) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.85 |
Hollywood Bowl Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hollywood Bowl's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hollywood Bowl's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hollywood stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.888 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Variance | 1.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hollywood Bowl
The number of cover stories for Hollywood Bowl depends on current market conditions and Hollywood Bowl's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hollywood Bowl is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hollywood Bowl's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hollywood Bowl Short Properties
Hollywood Bowl's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hollywood Bowl's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hollywood Bowl Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hollywood Bowl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hollywood Bowl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.2 M |
Additional Tools for Hollywood Stock Analysis
When running Hollywood Bowl's price analysis, check to measure Hollywood Bowl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hollywood Bowl is operating at the current time. Most of Hollywood Bowl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hollywood Bowl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hollywood Bowl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hollywood Bowl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.