Bintang Oto Stock Forward View
| BOGA Stock | IDR 1,575 65.00 4.30% |
Bintang Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Bintang Oto's stock price is about 69 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bintang, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bintang Oto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bintang Oto Global from the perspective of Bintang Oto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bintang Oto Global on the next trading day is expected to be 1,681 with a mean absolute deviation of 66.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,099. Bintang Oto after-hype prediction price | IDR 1575.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bintang |
Bintang Oto Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bintang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bintang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bintang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bintang Oto Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bintang Oto Global on the next trading day is expected to be 1,681 with a mean absolute deviation of 66.11, mean absolute percentage error of 9,652, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,099.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bintang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bintang Oto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bintang Oto Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bintang Oto | Bintang Oto Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bintang Oto Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bintang Oto's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bintang Oto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,673 and 1,689, respectively. We have considered Bintang Oto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bintang Oto stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bintang Oto stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 129.1233 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 66.112 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0685 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4098.9444 |
Predictive Modules for Bintang Oto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bintang Oto Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bintang Oto After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bintang Oto at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bintang Oto or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bintang Oto, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bintang Oto Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bintang Oto's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bintang Oto's historical news coverage. Bintang Oto's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,567 and 1,583, respectively. We have considered Bintang Oto's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bintang Oto is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bintang Oto Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bintang Oto Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bintang Oto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bintang Oto backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bintang Oto, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.15 | 7.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1,575 | 1,575 | 0.00 |
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Bintang Oto Hype Timeline
Bintang Oto Global is currently traded for 1,575on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bintang is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 2.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bintang Oto is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,575. About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.16. Bintang Oto Global had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bintang Oto to cross-verify your projections.Bintang Oto Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bintang Oto's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bintang Oto's future price movements. Getting to know how Bintang Oto's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bintang Oto may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CARS | Industri Dan Perdagangan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.40 | (3.76) | 17.50 | |
| PMJS | Putra Mandiri Jembar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | (0.03) | 1.75 | (2.52) | 7.37 | |
| SONA | Sona Topas Tourism | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.09 | (4.00) | 20.75 | |
| DEPO | Caturkarda Depo Bangunan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.43 | (6.92) | 39.38 | |
| SPTO | PT Surya Pertiwi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | 0.01 | 0.79 | (1.52) | 3.77 | |
| MSJA | Multi Spunindo Jaya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.52 | 0.14 | 8.39 | (4.47) | 19.98 | |
| ENAK | Champ Resto Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.05 | (5.47) | 20.19 | |
| ASLC | Autopedia Sukses Lestari | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.76 | (4.49) | 14.47 | |
| MINA | Sanurhasta Mitra PT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.59 | 0.15 | 19.35 | (10.00) | 49.44 | |
| MLPL | Multipolar Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.59 | (5.73) | 25.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bintang Oto
For every potential investor in Bintang, whether a beginner or expert, Bintang Oto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bintang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bintang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bintang Oto's price trends.Bintang Oto Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bintang Oto stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bintang Oto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bintang Oto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bintang Oto Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bintang Oto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bintang Oto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bintang Oto stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bintang Oto Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 606927.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2766 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1532.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1546.67 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 75.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 65.0 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 69.1 |
Bintang Oto Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bintang Oto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bintang Oto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bintang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.7 | |||
| Variance | 59.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bintang Oto
The number of cover stories for Bintang Oto depends on current market conditions and Bintang Oto's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bintang Oto is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bintang Oto's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bintang Oto Short Properties
Bintang Oto's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bintang Oto's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bintang Oto Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bintang Oto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bintang Oto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 455.1 B |
Other Information on Investing in Bintang Stock
Bintang Oto financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bintang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bintang with respect to the benefits of owning Bintang Oto security.