Blue Water Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BLUW Stock | USD 10.33 0.01 0.1% |
Blue Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Blue Water's stock price is slightly above 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Blue, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Blue Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blue Water Acquisition from the perspective of Blue Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Blue Water Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.35. Blue Water after-hype prediction price | USD 10.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Water to cross-verify your projections. Blue Water Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blue using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Blue Water Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Blue Water Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blue Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blue Water's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Blue Water Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Blue Water | Blue Water Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Blue Water Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Blue Water's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blue Water's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.89 and 10.76, respectively. We have considered Blue Water's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blue Water stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blue Water stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.3616 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0081 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0228 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0022 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.345 |
Predictive Modules for Blue Water
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Water Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blue Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blue Water After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Blue Water at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Blue Water or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Blue Water, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Blue Water Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Blue Water's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blue Water's historical news coverage. Blue Water's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.89 and 10.77, respectively. We have considered Blue Water's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Blue Water is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blue Water Acquisition is based on 3 months time horizon.
Blue Water Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Blue Water is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blue Water backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blue Water, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.33 | 10.33 | 0.00 |
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Blue Water Hype Timeline
Blue Water Acquisition is currently traded for 10.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Blue is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Blue Water is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.33. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Water to cross-verify your projections.Blue Water Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Blue Water's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blue Water's future price movements. Getting to know how Blue Water's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blue Water may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | (0.04) | 1.99 | (1.71) | 5.00 | |
| JBHT | JB Hunt Transport | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | 0.18 | 3.32 | (1.54) | 6.61 | |
| LOGN | Logansport Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.03 | 1.56 | (1.00) | 9.11 | |
| ATHI | American Transportation Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ASO | Academy Sports Outdoors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | 0.08 | 4.95 | (3.47) | 12.70 | |
| CNLFF | Canlan Ice Sports | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.35 | |
| NWUC | Nationwide Utilities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Blue Water
For every potential investor in Blue, whether a beginner or expert, Blue Water's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blue Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blue Water's price trends.Blue Water Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blue Water stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blue Water could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blue Water by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Blue Water Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blue Water stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blue Water shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blue Water stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blue Water Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Blue Water Risk Indicators
The analysis of Blue Water's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blue Water's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blue stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1976 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4368 | |||
| Variance | 0.1908 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.096 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.01) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Blue Water
The number of cover stories for Blue Water depends on current market conditions and Blue Water's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blue Water is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blue Water's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Blue Water Short Properties
Blue Water's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blue Water's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blue Water Acquisition often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blue Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.1 M | |
| Short Percent Float | 0.0005 | |
| Short Percent | 0.0005 |
Additional Tools for Blue Stock Analysis
When running Blue Water's price analysis, check to measure Blue Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Water is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.