Blckrk Lc Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

BCLPX Fund  USD 8.46  0.01  0.12%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Blckrk Lc Cr on the next trading day is expected to be 8.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.96. Blckrk Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Blckrk Lc Cr is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Blckrk Lc 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of November 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Blckrk Lc Cr on the next trading day is expected to be 8.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blckrk Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blckrk Lc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Blckrk Lc Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Blckrk Lc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Blckrk Lc's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blckrk Lc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.28 and 8.65, respectively. We have considered Blckrk Lc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.46
8.46
Expected Value
8.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blckrk Lc mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blckrk Lc mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.18
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0168
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.002
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9575
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Blckrk Lc. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Blckrk Lc Cr and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Blckrk Lc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blckrk Lc Cr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.278.468.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.278.468.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Blckrk Lc

For every potential investor in Blckrk, whether a beginner or expert, Blckrk Lc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blckrk Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blckrk. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blckrk Lc's price trends.

Blckrk Lc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blckrk Lc mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blckrk Lc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blckrk Lc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Blckrk Lc Cr Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Blckrk Lc's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Blckrk Lc's current price.

Blckrk Lc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blckrk Lc mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blckrk Lc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blckrk Lc mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Blckrk Lc Cr entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Blckrk Lc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Blckrk Lc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blckrk Lc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blckrk mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Blckrk Mutual Fund

Blckrk Lc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blckrk Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blckrk with respect to the benefits of owning Blckrk Lc security.
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