Brookstone Value Etf Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| BAMV Etf | 33.31 0.03 0.09% |
Brookstone Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Brookstone Value's share price is at 56 suggesting that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brookstone Value, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Brookstone Value hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brookstone Value Stock from the perspective of Brookstone Value response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brookstone Value Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 33.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.27. Brookstone Value after-hype prediction price | USD 33.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Brookstone Value Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brookstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brookstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brookstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Brookstone Value Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brookstone Value Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 33.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brookstone Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brookstone Value's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Brookstone Value Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Brookstone Value | Brookstone Value Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Brookstone Value Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Brookstone Value's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brookstone Value's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.63 and 34.06, respectively. We have considered Brookstone Value's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brookstone Value etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brookstone Value etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0402 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1911 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0059 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.273 |
Predictive Modules for Brookstone Value
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookstone Value Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brookstone Value After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brookstone Value at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brookstone Value or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Brookstone Value, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brookstone Value Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brookstone Value's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brookstone Value's historical news coverage. Brookstone Value's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.60 and 34.02, respectively. We have considered Brookstone Value's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brookstone Value is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brookstone Value Stock is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brookstone Value Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Brookstone Value is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brookstone Value backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brookstone Value, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.71 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
33.31 | 33.31 | 0.00 |
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Brookstone Value Hype Timeline
Brookstone Value Stock is currently traded for 33.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Brookstone is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Brookstone Value is about 3086.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.31. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brookstone Value to cross-verify your projections.Brookstone Value Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brookstone Value's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brookstone Value's future price movements. Getting to know how Brookstone Value's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brookstone Value may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLRY | Inspire Faithward Mid | 0.21 | 2 per month | 1.34 | (0.02) | 1.56 | (2.17) | 5.61 | |
| STNC | Hennessy Stance ESG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | 0.10 | 1.48 | (1.21) | 3.02 | |
| BCUS | Exchange Listed Funds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | 0.05 | 1.38 | (1.20) | 3.29 | |
| INCE | Franklin Income Equity | 0.16 | 12 per month | 0.21 | 0.15 | 0.97 | (0.77) | 2.19 | |
| ONEO | SPDR Russell 1000 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.63 | 0.07 | 1.39 | (1.37) | 3.28 | |
| SPYC | Simplify Equity PLUS | (0.14) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.45 | (1.61) | 5.01 | |
| GOEX | Global X Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.31 | 0.15 | 5.31 | (4.54) | 21.29 | |
| RAFE | PIMCO RAFI ESG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | 0.05 | 1.21 | (1.06) | 3.06 | |
| RVER | Advisor Managed Portfolios | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.48 | (2.08) | 6.08 | |
| SMDX | Intech SP Small Mid | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.08 | 1.80 | (1.37) | 4.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Brookstone Value
For every potential investor in Brookstone, whether a beginner or expert, Brookstone Value's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brookstone Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brookstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brookstone Value's price trends.Brookstone Value Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brookstone Value etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brookstone Value could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brookstone Value by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brookstone Value Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brookstone Value etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brookstone Value shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brookstone Value etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Brookstone Value Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Brookstone Value Risk Indicators
The analysis of Brookstone Value's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brookstone Value's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brookstone etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.561 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6191 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7149 | |||
| Variance | 0.5111 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5308 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3833 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Brookstone Value
The number of cover stories for Brookstone Value depends on current market conditions and Brookstone Value's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brookstone Value is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brookstone Value's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brookstone Value to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Brookstone Value Stock's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Brookstone's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Brookstone Value's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Since Brookstone Value's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Brookstone Value's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Brookstone Value should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Brookstone Value's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.