Adlai Nortye Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ANL Stock | 1.65 0.07 4.43% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Adlai Nortye Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 1.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.48. Adlai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Adlai Nortye's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Adlai Nortye's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Adlai Nortye fundamentals over time.
Receivables Turnover is expected to rise to 20.68 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to (642.2 K). . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 9.4 M. The value of Net Loss is expected to slide to about (55.6 M). Adlai Nortye Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Adlai Nortye's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 60.9 M | Current Value 53.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 28.2 M |
Adlai Nortye Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of November 2025
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Adlai Nortye Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 1.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Adlai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Adlai Nortye's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Adlai Nortye Stock Forecast Pattern
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Adlai Nortye Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Adlai Nortye's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Adlai Nortye's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.02, respectively. We have considered Adlai Nortye's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Adlai Nortye stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Adlai Nortye stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2298 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0406 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0249 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.4775 |
Predictive Modules for Adlai Nortye
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adlai Nortye. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Adlai Nortye
For every potential investor in Adlai, whether a beginner or expert, Adlai Nortye's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Adlai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Adlai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Adlai Nortye's price trends.Adlai Nortye Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Adlai Nortye stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Adlai Nortye could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adlai Nortye by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Adlai Nortye Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Adlai Nortye's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Adlai Nortye's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Adlai Nortye Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Adlai Nortye stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Adlai Nortye shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Adlai Nortye stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Adlai Nortye Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Adlai Nortye Risk Indicators
The analysis of Adlai Nortye's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Adlai Nortye's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting adlai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.42 | |||
| Variance | 11.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adlai Nortye. If investors know Adlai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adlai Nortye listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.62) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.18 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Adlai Nortye is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adlai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adlai Nortye's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adlai Nortye's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adlai Nortye's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adlai Nortye's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adlai Nortye's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adlai Nortye is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adlai Nortye's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.