Affinity Beverage Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Affinity Beverage Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Affinity Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Affinity Beverage's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, Affinity Beverage's Payables Turnover is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Affinity Beverage's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 5.64, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 4.42. . The Affinity Beverage's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (115.5 K).
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Affinity Beverage works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Affinity Beverage Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Affinity Beverage Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Affinity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Affinity Beverage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Affinity Beverage Stock Forecast Pattern

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Affinity Beverage Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Affinity Beverage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Affinity Beverage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 125.99, respectively. We have considered Affinity Beverage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.00
Expected Value
125.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Affinity Beverage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Affinity Beverage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Affinity Beverage Group prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Affinity Beverage Group trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Affinity Beverage observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Affinity Beverage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Affinity Beverage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Affinity Beverage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00000630.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Affinity Beverage

For every potential investor in Affinity, whether a beginner or expert, Affinity Beverage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Affinity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Affinity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Affinity Beverage's price trends.

Affinity Beverage Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Affinity Beverage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Affinity Beverage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Affinity Beverage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Affinity Beverage Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Affinity Beverage's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Affinity Beverage's current price.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Affinity Beverage is a strong investment it is important to analyze Affinity Beverage's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Affinity Beverage's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Affinity Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Affinity Beverage to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Beverages - Non-Alcoholic space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Affinity Beverage. If investors know Affinity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Affinity Beverage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
0.22
Return On Assets
(0.14)
Return On Equity
(0.48)
The market value of Affinity Beverage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Affinity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Affinity Beverage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Affinity Beverage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Affinity Beverage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Affinity Beverage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Affinity Beverage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Affinity Beverage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Affinity Beverage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.