Ambase Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| ABCP Stock | USD 0.20 0.00 0.00% |
Ambase Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Ambase Corp's share price is approaching 41. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ambase Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ambase Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ambase Corp from the perspective of Ambase Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ambase Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.42. Ambase Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 0.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ambase |
Ambase Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ambase price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ambase using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ambase charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ambase Corp 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ambase Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000096, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ambase Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ambase Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ambase Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Ambase Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ambase Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ambase Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.12, respectively. We have considered Ambase Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ambase Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ambase Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 101.5061 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0024 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0074 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0337 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.42 |
Predictive Modules for Ambase Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ambase Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ambase Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ambase Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ambase Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ambase Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Ambase Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ambase Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ambase Corp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ambase Corp's historical news coverage. Ambase Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 5.12, respectively. We have considered Ambase Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ambase Corp is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ambase Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ambase Corp Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ambase Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ambase Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ambase Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 4.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
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Ambase Corp Hype Timeline
Ambase Corp is presently traded for 0.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ambase is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ambase Corp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.20. About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.11. Ambase Corp last dividend was issued on the 10th of December 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ambase Corp to cross-verify your projections.Ambase Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ambase Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ambase Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Ambase Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ambase Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MNGGF | Mongolia Growth Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.75 | (4.71) | 17.16 | |
| BCKMF | The Becker Milk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GZUHY | Guangzhou RF Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ILAL | International Land Alliance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.39 | 0.11 | 14.29 | (12.50) | 83.56 | |
| AHOTF | American Hotel Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.63 | 0.1 | 11.76 | (8.00) | 40.79 | |
| KDCCF | Kadestone Capital Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IVREF | Inovalis Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.64 | 0.07 | 9.43 | (2.74) | 37.92 | |
| TRPTF | Tribe Property Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.35 | 0.00 | 18.63 | |
| TNHDF | Times Neighborhood Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SOLLY | Shui On Land | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ambase Corp
For every potential investor in Ambase, whether a beginner or expert, Ambase Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ambase Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ambase. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ambase Corp's price trends.Ambase Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ambase Corp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ambase Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ambase Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ambase Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ambase Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ambase Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ambase Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ambase Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.05 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.2 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 41.33 |
Ambase Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ambase Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ambase Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ambase pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.92 | |||
| Variance | 24.16 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ambase Corp
The number of cover stories for Ambase Corp depends on current market conditions and Ambase Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ambase Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ambase Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ambase Corp Short Properties
Ambase Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ambase Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ambase Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ambase Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ambase Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 M |
Additional Tools for Ambase Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Ambase Corp's price analysis, check to measure Ambase Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambase Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Ambase Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambase Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambase Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambase Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.