5Th Planet Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

5PG Stock  NOK 0.84  0.01  1.18%   
5Th Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of 5Th Planet's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of 5Th Planet's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of 5Th Planet and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from 5Th Planet's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with 5Th Planet Games, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using 5Th Planet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 5Th Planet Games from the perspective of 5Th Planet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 5Th Planet Games on the next trading day is expected to be 0.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.12.

5Th Planet after-hype prediction price

    
  NOK 0.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 5Th Planet to cross-verify your projections.

5Th Planet Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine 5Th price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 5Th using various technical indicators. When you analyze 5Th charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
5Th Planet simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for 5Th Planet Games are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as 5Th Planet Games prices get older.

5Th Planet Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 5Th Planet Games on the next trading day is expected to be 0.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0008, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 5Th Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 5Th Planet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

5Th Planet Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest 5Th Planet  5Th Planet Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

5Th Planet Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 5Th Planet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 5Th Planet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.78, respectively. We have considered 5Th Planet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.84
0.84
Expected Value
4.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 5Th Planet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 5Th Planet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.0039
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0023
MADMean absolute deviation0.0184
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0234
SAESum of the absolute errors1.12
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting 5Th Planet Games forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent 5Th Planet observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for 5Th Planet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 5Th Planet Games. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.844.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.674.61
Details

5Th Planet After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of 5Th Planet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 5Th Planet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of 5Th Planet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

5Th Planet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting 5Th Planet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 5Th Planet's historical news coverage. 5Th Planet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 4.78, respectively. We have considered 5Th Planet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.84
0.84
After-hype Price
4.78
Upside
5Th Planet is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 5Th Planet Games is based on 3 months time horizon.

5Th Planet Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 5Th Planet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 5Th Planet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 5Th Planet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.38 
3.94
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.84
0.84
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

5Th Planet Hype Timeline

5Th Planet Games is presently traded for 0.84on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. 5Th is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on 5Th Planet is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.84. About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company recorded a loss per share of 0.43. 5Th Planet Games had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 29th of November 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 5Th Planet to cross-verify your projections.

5Th Planet Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to 5Th Planet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 5Th Planet's future price movements. Getting to know how 5Th Planet's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 5Th Planet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for 5Th Planet

For every potential investor in 5Th, whether a beginner or expert, 5Th Planet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 5Th Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 5Th. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 5Th Planet's price trends.

5Th Planet Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 5Th Planet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 5Th Planet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 5Th Planet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

5Th Planet Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 5Th Planet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 5Th Planet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 5Th Planet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 5Th Planet Games entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

5Th Planet Risk Indicators

The analysis of 5Th Planet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 5Th Planet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 5th stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for 5Th Planet

The number of cover stories for 5Th Planet depends on current market conditions and 5Th Planet's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 5Th Planet is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 5Th Planet's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

5Th Planet Short Properties

5Th Planet's future price predictability will typically decrease when 5Th Planet's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of 5Th Planet Games often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential 5Th Planet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 5Th Planet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.6 M

Other Information on Investing in 5Th Stock

5Th Planet financial ratios help investors to determine whether 5Th Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 5Th with respect to the benefits of owning 5Th Planet security.