Cembra Money Stock Forward View

0QPJ Stock   99.30  0.57  0.57%   
Cembra Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Cembra Money's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cembra Money's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cembra Money and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cembra Money's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cembra Money Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cembra Money's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.112
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.013
Using Cembra Money hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cembra Money Bank from the perspective of Cembra Money response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cembra Money Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 98.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.59.

Cembra Money after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 99.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cembra Money to cross-verify your projections.

Cembra Money Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cembra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cembra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cembra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Cembra Money is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cembra Money Bank value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cembra Money Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cembra Money Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 98.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06, mean absolute percentage error of 1.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cembra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cembra Money's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cembra Money Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cembra Money  Cembra Money Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Cembra Money Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cembra Money's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cembra Money's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.42 and 99.92, respectively. We have considered Cembra Money's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
99.30
98.67
Expected Value
99.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cembra Money stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cembra Money stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7077
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0588
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors64.5878
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cembra Money Bank. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cembra Money. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cembra Money

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cembra Money Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.0099.25100.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.4681.71109.23
Details

Cembra Money After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cembra Money at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cembra Money or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cembra Money, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cembra Money Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cembra Money's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cembra Money's historical news coverage. Cembra Money's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.00 and 100.50, respectively. We have considered Cembra Money's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
99.30
99.25
After-hype Price
100.50
Upside
Cembra Money is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cembra Money Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cembra Money Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cembra Money is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cembra Money backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cembra Money, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.25
  0.05 
  86.99 
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
99.30
99.25
0.05 
304.88  
Notes

Cembra Money Hype Timeline

Cembra Money Bank is presently traded for 99.30on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 86.99. Cembra is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 99.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Cembra Money is about 0.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 186.29. About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.49. Cembra Money Bank had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cembra Money to cross-verify your projections.

Cembra Money Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cembra Money's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cembra Money's future price movements. Getting to know how Cembra Money's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cembra Money may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TYTToyota Motor Corp(62.00)8 per month 1.40  0.09  3.26 (2.89) 10.55 
0R15SoftBank Group Corp 6,720 7 per month 0.00 (0.09) 10.30 (9.95) 109.63 
0L2TSamsung SDI Co 0.80 1 per month 3.02  0.26  12.21 (5.30) 26.07 
0R1ENintendo Co(130.00)2 per month 0.00 (0.20) 4.34 (6.87) 21.82 
0LCVTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(3.75)7 per month 2.05  0.08  4.48 (3.58) 10.72 
0QYRPanasonic Corp 0.00 1 per month 3.71  0.09  8.87 (7.43) 18.17 
0IL0Fannie Mae 0.20 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.24 (8.54) 21.91 
0RIHAlphabet Class A 1.32 8 per month 1.73  0.06  3.93 (2.57) 13.64 
0R2VApple Inc(1.98)7 per month 1.38 (0.03) 2.89 (2.16) 8.60 

Other Forecasting Options for Cembra Money

For every potential investor in Cembra, whether a beginner or expert, Cembra Money's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cembra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cembra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cembra Money's price trends.

Cembra Money Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cembra Money stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cembra Money could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cembra Money by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cembra Money Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cembra Money stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cembra Money shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cembra Money stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cembra Money Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cembra Money Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cembra Money's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cembra Money's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cembra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cembra Money

The number of cover stories for Cembra Money depends on current market conditions and Cembra Money's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cembra Money is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cembra Money's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Cembra Money Short Properties

Cembra Money's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cembra Money's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cembra Money Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cembra Money's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cembra Money's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments793.2 M

Additional Tools for Cembra Stock Analysis

When running Cembra Money's price analysis, check to measure Cembra Money's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cembra Money is operating at the current time. Most of Cembra Money's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cembra Money's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cembra Money's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cembra Money to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.