Natura City (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CITY Stock | 50.00 0.00 0.00% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Natura City Developments is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Natura City buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CITY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Natura City's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Natura City's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 46.5 | Hype Value 50 | Market Value 50 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Natura City Developments given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Natura City. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Natura City Developments, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Natura |
Execute Natura City Buy or Sell Advice
The Natura recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Natura City Developments. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Natura City Developments or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Natura City's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Natura City Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Natura City generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Natura City has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Natura City Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Natura City's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Natura City's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Natura City daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Natura City Developments price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Natura City returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Natura City.
| Mean Return | -0.2 | Value At Risk | -3.7 | Potential Upside | 1.92 | Standard Deviation | 1.85 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Natura City historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Natura City Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Natura City or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Natura City's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Natura stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Natura City Volatility Alert
Natura City Developments exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of 3.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Natura City's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Natura City's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Natura City Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Natura City's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Natura City's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Natura City and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Natura City or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Natura City's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natura City by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Natura City to competition |
| Fundamentals | Natura City | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0048 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0025 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.06) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.05) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 748.87 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 5.41 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 60.80 % | 10.09 % |
| Price To Book | 0.91 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 11.52 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 78.58 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 104.31 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.02 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.26 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 20 B | 2.7 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 158.49 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 10.88 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.95) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 112 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | -0.31 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 524.3 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 951.33 B | 29.47 B |
| Net Asset | 951.33 B |
Natura City Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Natura . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Natura City Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Natura City Developments? Buying financial instruments such as Natura Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Natura City in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Natura City Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
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When running Natura City's price analysis, check to measure Natura City's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natura City is operating at the current time. Most of Natura City's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natura City's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natura City's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natura City to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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