Vista Oil Gas Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 46.53
| VIST Stock | USD 46.53 0.85 1.86% |
Closest to current price Vista long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Vista |
Vista Oil Target Price Odds to finish over 46.53
The tendency of Vista Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 46.53 | 90 days | 46.53 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vista Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Vista Oil Gas probability density function shows the probability of Vista Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vista Oil has a beta of 0.87. This entails Vista Oil Gas market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vista Oil is expected to follow. Additionally Vista Oil Gas has an alpha of 0.372, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vista Oil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vista Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vista Oil Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vista Oil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vista Oil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vista Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vista Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vista Oil Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vista Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Vista Oil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vista Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vista Oil Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company currently holds 686.52 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vista Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Vista Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vista Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vista Oil Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vista to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vista Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Vista Oil Gas has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick Why Vista Oil Gas, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored ADR is a Great Choice |
Vista Oil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vista Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vista Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vista Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 213.3 M |
Vista Oil Technical Analysis
Vista Oil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vista Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vista Oil Gas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vista Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vista Oil Predictive Forecast Models
Vista Oil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vista Oil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vista Oil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vista Oil Gas
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vista Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vista Oil Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company currently holds 686.52 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vista Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Vista Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vista Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vista Oil Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vista to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vista Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Vista Oil Gas has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick Why Vista Oil Gas, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored ADR is a Great Choice |
Check out Vista Oil Backtesting, Vista Oil Valuation, Vista Oil Correlation, Vista Oil Hype Analysis, Vista Oil Volatility, Vista Oil History as well as Vista Oil Performance. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Complementary Tools for Vista Stock analysis
When running Vista Oil's price analysis, check to measure Vista Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vista Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Vista Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vista Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vista Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vista Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets |
Is Vista Oil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vista Oil. If investors know Vista will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vista Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Earnings Share 3.36 | Revenue Per Share 12.28 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 | Return On Assets 0.1316 |
The market value of Vista Oil Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vista that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vista Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vista Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vista Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vista Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vista Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vista Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vista Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.