Amincor Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.18

AMNCB Stock  USD 0.18  0.01  5.26%   
Amincor's future price is the expected price of Amincor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amincor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amincor Backtesting, Amincor Valuation, Amincor Correlation, Amincor Hype Analysis, Amincor Volatility, Amincor History as well as Amincor Performance.
  
Please specify Amincor's target price for which you would like Amincor odds to be computed.

Amincor Target Price Odds to finish over 0.18

The tendency of Amincor Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.18 90 days 0.18 
about 1.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amincor to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.42 (This Amincor probability density function shows the probability of Amincor Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.31 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Amincor will likely underperform. In addition to that Amincor has an alpha of 5.9169, implying that it can generate a 5.92 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amincor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amincor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amincor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amincor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1846.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1546.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amincor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amincor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amincor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amincor.

Amincor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amincor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amincor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amincor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amincor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
5.92
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Amincor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amincor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amincor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amincor is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Amincor has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Amincor appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Amincor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Amincor until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Amincor's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Amincor sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Amincor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Amincor's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Amincor reported the revenue of 28.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 780.09 K.
Amincor has accumulated about 129.79 K in cash with (6.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Amincor Technical Analysis

Amincor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amincor Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amincor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amincor Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amincor Predictive Forecast Models

Amincor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amincor's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amincor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amincor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amincor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amincor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amincor is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Amincor has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Amincor appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Amincor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Amincor until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Amincor's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Amincor sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Amincor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Amincor's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Amincor reported the revenue of 28.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 780.09 K.
Amincor has accumulated about 129.79 K in cash with (6.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Check out Amincor Backtesting, Amincor Valuation, Amincor Correlation, Amincor Hype Analysis, Amincor Volatility, Amincor History as well as Amincor Performance.
Note that the Amincor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Amincor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for Amincor Pink Sheet analysis

When running Amincor's price analysis, check to measure Amincor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amincor is operating at the current time. Most of Amincor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amincor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amincor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amincor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Amincor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amincor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amincor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.