Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap Fund Market Value

VTMSX Fund  USD 91.71  1.47  1.58%   
Vanguard Tax's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Tax trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap investors about its performance. Vanguard Tax is trading at 91.71 as of the 26th of July 2025; that is 1.58 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 93.18.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Tax over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Tax Correlation, Vanguard Tax Volatility and Vanguard Tax Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Tax.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Tax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Tax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Tax's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Tax 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Tax's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Tax.
0.00
04/27/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Tax on April 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Tax over 90 days. Vanguard Tax is related to or competes with Vanguard Tax, Vanguard Developed, Vanguard Tax, Vanguard Small, and Vanguard Strategic. The fund purchases stocks included in the S P SmallCap 600 Indexan index that is made up of stocks of smaller U.S More

Vanguard Tax Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Tax's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Tax Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Tax's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Tax's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Tax historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Tax's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Tax's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
92.3193.4894.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.0183.18102.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.6091.7792.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.9191.0794.22
Details

Vanguard Tax Managed Backtested Returns

Vanguard Tax appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Vanguard Tax Managed owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.17, which indicates the fund had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review Vanguard Tax's Semi Deviation of 0.9083, coefficient of variation of 588.71, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1351 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 1.14, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Vanguard Tax returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Tax is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Tax time series from 27th of April 2025 to 11th of June 2025 and 11th of June 2025 to 26th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Tax Managed price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Vanguard Tax price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.43

Vanguard Tax Managed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Tax mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Tax's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Tax returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Tax has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Tax regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Tax mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Tax mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Tax mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Tax Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Tax's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Tax mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Tax autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Tax autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Tax mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Tax financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Tax security.
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