Taiwan Semiconductor (Mexico) Market Value
| TSMN Stock | MXN 3,762 12.12 0.32% |
| Symbol | Taiwan |
Taiwan Semiconductor 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Taiwan Semiconductor's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Taiwan Semiconductor.
| 10/30/2024 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Taiwan Semiconductor on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing or generate 0.0% return on investment in Taiwan Semiconductor over 30 days. Taiwan Semiconductor is related to or competes with NVIDIA, Texas Instruments, Intel, and Micron Technology. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited manufactures and sells integrated circuits and semiconductors More
Taiwan Semiconductor Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Taiwan Semiconductor's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0471 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.4 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.01) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.37 |
Taiwan Semiconductor Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Taiwan Semiconductor's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Taiwan Semiconductor's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Taiwan Semiconductor historical prices to predict the future Taiwan Semiconductor's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0804 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2046 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0457 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.8453 |
Taiwan Semiconductor Backtested Returns
Taiwan Semiconductor appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Taiwan Semiconductor owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0838, which indicates the firm had a 0.0838% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Taiwan Semiconductor's Coefficient Of Variation of 1044.78, risk adjusted performance of 0.0804, and Semi Deviation of 2.26 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Taiwan Semiconductor holds a performance score of 6. The entity has a beta of 0.28, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Taiwan Semiconductor's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Taiwan Semiconductor is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Taiwan Semiconductor's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Taiwan Semiconductor's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.1 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Taiwan Semiconductor time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Taiwan Semiconductor price movement. The serial correlation of -0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Taiwan Semiconductor price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.1 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.15 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3649.67 |
Taiwan Semiconductor lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Taiwan Semiconductor stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Taiwan Semiconductor's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Taiwan Semiconductor returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Taiwan Semiconductor has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Taiwan Semiconductor regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Taiwan Semiconductor stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Taiwan Semiconductor stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Taiwan Semiconductor stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Taiwan Semiconductor Lagged Returns
When evaluating Taiwan Semiconductor's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Taiwan Semiconductor stock have on its future price. Taiwan Semiconductor autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Taiwan Semiconductor autocorrelation shows the relationship between Taiwan Semiconductor stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Taiwan Stock Analysis
When running Taiwan Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure Taiwan Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Taiwan Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of Taiwan Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Taiwan Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Taiwan Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Taiwan Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.