Tokyo Electron Stock Market Value

TOELF Stock  USD 183.13  6.47  3.41%   
Tokyo Electron's market value is the price at which a share of Tokyo Electron trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tokyo Electron investors about its performance. Tokyo Electron is trading at 183.13 as of the 21st of July 2025. This is a 3.41% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 183.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tokyo Electron and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tokyo Electron over a given investment horizon. Check out Tokyo Electron Correlation, Tokyo Electron Volatility and Tokyo Electron Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tokyo Electron.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tokyo Electron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tokyo Electron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tokyo Electron's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tokyo Electron 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tokyo Electron's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tokyo Electron.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tokyo Electron on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tokyo Electron or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tokyo Electron over 90 days. Tokyo Electron is related to or competes with SkyWest, Flexible Solutions, Arq, United Airlines, Ecovyst, CF Industries, and Aegean Airlines. Tokyo Electron Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor and flat panel d... More

Tokyo Electron Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tokyo Electron's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tokyo Electron upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tokyo Electron Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tokyo Electron's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tokyo Electron's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tokyo Electron historical prices to predict the future Tokyo Electron's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
178.52183.13187.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
139.82144.43201.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
169.28173.90178.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
173.38183.11192.84
Details

Tokyo Electron Backtested Returns

Tokyo Electron appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Tokyo Electron owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the firm had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Tokyo Electron's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.6% is justified by implied risk. Please review Tokyo Electron's Coefficient Of Variation of 870.55, risk adjusted performance of 0.1152, and Semi Deviation of 4.29 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Tokyo Electron holds a performance score of 10. The entity has a beta of 0.65, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Tokyo Electron's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tokyo Electron is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Tokyo Electron's treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Tokyo Electron's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.77  

Good predictability

Tokyo Electron has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tokyo Electron time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tokyo Electron price movement. The serial correlation of 0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current Tokyo Electron price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.77
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance133.7

Tokyo Electron lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tokyo Electron pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tokyo Electron's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tokyo Electron returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tokyo Electron has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tokyo Electron regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tokyo Electron pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tokyo Electron pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tokyo Electron pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tokyo Electron Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tokyo Electron's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tokyo Electron pink sheet have on its future price. Tokyo Electron autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tokyo Electron autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tokyo Electron pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tokyo Electron.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Tokyo Pink Sheet

Tokyo Electron financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tokyo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tokyo with respect to the benefits of owning Tokyo Electron security.