Swiss Helvetia Closed Fund Market Value

SWZ Fund  USD 6.12  0.04  0.65%   
Swiss Helvetia's market value is the price at which a share of Swiss Helvetia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Swiss Helvetia Closed investors about its performance. Swiss Helvetia is trading at 6.12 as of the 6th of August 2025; that is 0.65 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 6.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Swiss Helvetia Closed and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Swiss Helvetia over a given investment horizon. Check out Swiss Helvetia Correlation, Swiss Helvetia Volatility and Swiss Helvetia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Swiss Helvetia.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Swiss Helvetia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swiss Helvetia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Swiss Helvetia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Swiss Helvetia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Swiss Helvetia's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Swiss Helvetia.
0.00
05/08/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
08/06/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Swiss Helvetia on May 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Swiss Helvetia Closed or generate 0.0% return on investment in Swiss Helvetia over 90 days. Swiss Helvetia is related to or competes with MFS Charter, Central Europe, Taiwan Closed, European Equity, Aberdeen Japan, New Germany, and Mexico Closed. The Swiss Helvetia Fund Inc. is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Schroder Investment Management... More

Swiss Helvetia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Swiss Helvetia's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Swiss Helvetia Closed upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Swiss Helvetia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Swiss Helvetia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Swiss Helvetia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Swiss Helvetia historical prices to predict the future Swiss Helvetia's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Swiss Helvetia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.416.126.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.436.146.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.376.076.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.096.226.35
Details

Swiss Helvetia Closed Backtested Returns

Swiss Helvetia Closed owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0743, which indicates the fund had a -0.0743 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Swiss Helvetia Closed exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Swiss Helvetia's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,881), variance of 0.5777, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.17, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Swiss Helvetia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Swiss Helvetia is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

Swiss Helvetia Closed has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Swiss Helvetia time series from 8th of May 2025 to 22nd of June 2025 and 22nd of June 2025 to 6th of August 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Swiss Helvetia Closed price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Swiss Helvetia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Swiss Helvetia Closed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Swiss Helvetia fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Swiss Helvetia's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Swiss Helvetia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Swiss Helvetia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Swiss Helvetia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Swiss Helvetia fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Swiss Helvetia fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Swiss Helvetia fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Swiss Helvetia Lagged Returns

When evaluating Swiss Helvetia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Swiss Helvetia fund have on its future price. Swiss Helvetia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Swiss Helvetia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Swiss Helvetia fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Swiss Helvetia Closed.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Swiss Fund

Swiss Helvetia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Swiss Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Swiss with respect to the benefits of owning Swiss Helvetia security.
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