Nasdaq 100 2x Strategy Fund Market Value

RYCCX Fund  USD 426.76  0.59  0.14%   
Nasdaq 100's market value is the price at which a share of Nasdaq 100 trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nasdaq 100 2x Strategy investors about its performance. Nasdaq 100 is trading at 426.76 as of the 10th of November 2024; that is 0.14 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 426.17.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nasdaq 100 2x Strategy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nasdaq 100 over a given investment horizon. Check out Nasdaq 100 Correlation, Nasdaq 100 Volatility and Nasdaq 100 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nasdaq 100.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nasdaq 100's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nasdaq 100 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nasdaq 100's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nasdaq 100 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nasdaq 100's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nasdaq 100.
0.00
10/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/10/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nasdaq 100 on October 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nasdaq 100 2x Strategy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nasdaq 100 over 30 days. Nasdaq 100 is related to or competes with Basic Materials, Basic Materials, Banking Fund, Basic Materials, Sp Midcap, Basic Materials, and Biotechnology Fund. The fund employs as its investment strategy a program of investing in the common stock of companies that are generally w... More

Nasdaq 100 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nasdaq 100's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nasdaq 100 2x Strategy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nasdaq 100 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nasdaq 100's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nasdaq 100's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nasdaq 100 historical prices to predict the future Nasdaq 100's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nasdaq 100's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
424.42426.76429.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
409.48411.82469.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
442.67445.01447.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
369.06395.68422.29
Details

Nasdaq 100 2x Backtested Returns

Nasdaq 100 appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Nasdaq 100 2x has Sharpe Ratio of 0.17, which conveys that the entity had a 0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Nasdaq 100, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please exercise Nasdaq 100's Mean Deviation of 1.67, downside deviation of 2.69, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1383 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.22, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Nasdaq 100 will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.07  

Very weak reverse predictability

Nasdaq 100 2x Strategy has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nasdaq 100 time series from 11th of October 2024 to 26th of October 2024 and 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nasdaq 100 2x price movement. The serial correlation of -0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Nasdaq 100 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.07
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance296.28

Nasdaq 100 2x lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nasdaq 100 mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nasdaq 100's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nasdaq 100 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nasdaq 100 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nasdaq 100 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nasdaq 100 mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nasdaq 100 mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nasdaq 100 mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nasdaq 100 Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nasdaq 100's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nasdaq 100 mutual fund have on its future price. Nasdaq 100 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nasdaq 100 autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nasdaq 100 mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nasdaq 100 2x Strategy.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Nasdaq Mutual Fund

Nasdaq 100 financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nasdaq Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nasdaq with respect to the benefits of owning Nasdaq 100 security.
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