Porvair Plc (UK) Market Value

PRV Stock   670.00  10.00  1.47%   
Porvair Plc's market value is the price at which a share of Porvair Plc trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Porvair plc investors about its performance. Porvair Plc is trading at 670.00 as of the 17th of December 2024, a 1.47 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 650.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Porvair plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Porvair Plc over a given investment horizon. Check out Porvair Plc Correlation, Porvair Plc Volatility and Porvair Plc Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Porvair Plc.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Porvair Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Porvair Plc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Porvair Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Porvair Plc 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Porvair Plc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Porvair Plc.
0.00
12/28/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/17/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Porvair Plc on December 28, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Porvair plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Porvair Plc over 720 days. Porvair Plc is related to or competes with AfriTin Mining, Molson Coors, Gear4music Plc, Cornish Metals, Bisichi Mining, and Fevertree Drinks. Porvair Plc is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More

Porvair Plc Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Porvair Plc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Porvair plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Porvair Plc Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Porvair Plc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Porvair Plc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Porvair Plc historical prices to predict the future Porvair Plc's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
668.14669.88671.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
555.57557.31737.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
677.26679.01680.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.10.10.10
Details

Porvair plc Backtested Returns

At this point, Porvair Plc is very steady. Porvair plc maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0357, which implies the firm had a 0.0357% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Porvair plc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Porvair Plc's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.035, semi deviation of 1.52, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2473.24 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0623%. Porvair Plc has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of -0.25, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Porvair Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Porvair Plc is likely to outperform the market. Porvair plc right now holds a risk of 1.74%. Please check Porvair plc skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the downside variance and daily balance of power , to decide if Porvair plc will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.04  

Virtually no predictability

Porvair plc has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Porvair Plc time series from 28th of December 2022 to 23rd of December 2023 and 23rd of December 2023 to 17th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Porvair plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Porvair Plc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.04
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance619.02

Porvair plc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Porvair Plc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Porvair Plc's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Porvair Plc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Porvair Plc has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Porvair Plc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Porvair Plc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Porvair Plc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Porvair Plc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Porvair Plc Lagged Returns

When evaluating Porvair Plc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Porvair Plc stock have on its future price. Porvair Plc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Porvair Plc autocorrelation shows the relationship between Porvair Plc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Porvair plc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Porvair Stock

Porvair Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Porvair Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Porvair with respect to the benefits of owning Porvair Plc security.