Needham Small Cap Fund Market Value

NESIX Fund  USD 17.62  0.10  0.57%   
Needham Small's market value is the price at which a share of Needham Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Needham Small Cap investors about its performance. Needham Small is trading at 17.62 as of the 21st of May 2025; that is 0.57 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 17.52.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Needham Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Needham Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Needham Small Correlation, Needham Small Volatility and Needham Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Needham Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Needham Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Needham Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Needham Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Needham Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Needham Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Needham Small.
0.00
02/20/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
05/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Needham Small on February 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Needham Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Needham Small over 90 days. Needham Small is related to or competes with Needham Small, Needham Aggressive, Needham Aggressive, Ultramid Cap, and Ridgeworth Innovative. Under normal conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in the equity securities of domestic issuers listed on a nationally recognized securities exchange that have market capitalizations not exceeding 8 billion. More

Needham Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Needham Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Needham Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Needham Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Needham Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Needham Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Needham Small historical prices to predict the future Needham Small's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.5417.6220.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8615.9419.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.8416.9220.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.6216.5018.39
Details

Needham Small Cap Backtested Returns

Needham Small Cap has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0445, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0445 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Needham Small exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Needham Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), mean deviation of 2.05, and Standard Deviation of 3.04 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.52, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Needham Small will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.79  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Needham Small Cap has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Needham Small time series from 20th of February 2025 to 6th of April 2025 and 6th of April 2025 to 21st of May 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Needham Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Needham Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.79
Spearman Rank Test-0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.54

Needham Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Needham Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Needham Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Needham Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Needham Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Needham Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Needham Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Needham Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Needham Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Needham Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Needham Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Needham Small mutual fund have on its future price. Needham Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Needham Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Needham Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Needham Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Needham Mutual Fund

Needham Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Needham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Needham with respect to the benefits of owning Needham Small security.
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