Virtus Allianzgi Convertible Preferred Stock Market Value

NCV-PA Preferred Stock  USD 22.22  0.14  0.63%   
Virtus AllianzGI's market value is the price at which a share of Virtus AllianzGI trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Virtus AllianzGI Convertible investors about its performance. Virtus AllianzGI is trading at 22.22 as of the 15th of November 2024, a 0.63 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 22.08.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Virtus AllianzGI Convertible and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Virtus AllianzGI over a given investment horizon. Check out Virtus AllianzGI Correlation, Virtus AllianzGI Volatility and Virtus AllianzGI Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Virtus AllianzGI.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Virtus AllianzGI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virtus AllianzGI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virtus AllianzGI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Virtus AllianzGI 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Virtus AllianzGI's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Virtus AllianzGI.
0.00
08/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Virtus AllianzGI on August 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Virtus AllianzGI Convertible or generate 0.0% return on investment in Virtus AllianzGI over 90 days. Virtus AllianzGI is related to or competes with Gabelli Equity, Gabelli Utility, Gabelli Multimedia, and Tri-ContinentalPFD. AllianzGI Convertible Income Fund is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched and managed by Allianz Global Inve... More

Virtus AllianzGI Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Virtus AllianzGI's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Virtus AllianzGI Convertible upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Virtus AllianzGI Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Virtus AllianzGI's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Virtus AllianzGI's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Virtus AllianzGI historical prices to predict the future Virtus AllianzGI's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5722.2222.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8119.4624.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.2221.8722.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.9022.6423.37
Details

Virtus AllianzGI Con Backtested Returns

At this point, Virtus AllianzGI is very steady. Virtus AllianzGI Con owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0578, which indicates the firm had a 0.0578% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Virtus AllianzGI Convertible, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Virtus AllianzGI's Semi Deviation of 0.645, risk adjusted performance of 0.0392, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1853.9 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0375%. Virtus AllianzGI has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.13, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Virtus AllianzGI are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Virtus AllianzGI is likely to outperform the market. Virtus AllianzGI Con right now has a risk of 0.65%. Please validate Virtus AllianzGI maximum drawdown, skewness, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and daily balance of power , to decide if Virtus AllianzGI will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.84  

Excellent reverse predictability

Virtus AllianzGI Convertible has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Virtus AllianzGI time series from 17th of August 2024 to 1st of October 2024 and 1st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Virtus AllianzGI Con price movement. The serial correlation of -0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current Virtus AllianzGI price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.84
Spearman Rank Test-0.87
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13

Virtus AllianzGI Con lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Virtus AllianzGI preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Virtus AllianzGI's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Virtus AllianzGI returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Virtus AllianzGI has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Virtus AllianzGI regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Virtus AllianzGI preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Virtus AllianzGI preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Virtus AllianzGI preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Virtus AllianzGI Lagged Returns

When evaluating Virtus AllianzGI's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Virtus AllianzGI preferred stock have on its future price. Virtus AllianzGI autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Virtus AllianzGI autocorrelation shows the relationship between Virtus AllianzGI preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Virtus AllianzGI Convertible.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Virtus Preferred Stock

Virtus AllianzGI financial ratios help investors to determine whether Virtus Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Virtus with respect to the benefits of owning Virtus AllianzGI security.