Lloyds Banking (Germany) Market Value
| LLD2 Stock | EUR 2.44 0.10 3.94% |
| Symbol | Lloyds |
Lloyds Banking 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lloyds Banking's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lloyds Banking.
| 06/21/2024 |
| 12/18/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Lloyds Banking on June 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lloyds Banking Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lloyds Banking over 180 days. Lloyds Banking is related to or competes with Crdit Agricole. Lloyds Banking Group plc provides banking and financial services under the Lloyds Bank, Halifax, Bank of Scotland, and S... More
Lloyds Banking Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lloyds Banking's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lloyds Banking Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.03 |
Lloyds Banking Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lloyds Banking's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lloyds Banking's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lloyds Banking historical prices to predict the future Lloyds Banking's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0067 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0012 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0529 |
Lloyds Banking Group Backtested Returns
Lloyds Banking Group has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0091, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0091% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lloyds Banking exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lloyds Banking's Standard Deviation of 2.89, risk adjusted performance of 0.0067, and Mean Deviation of 1.75 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.25, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Lloyds Banking are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Lloyds Banking is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Lloyds Banking Group has a negative expected return of -0.0268%. Please make sure to verify Lloyds Banking's treynor ratio, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if Lloyds Banking Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.08 |
Virtually no predictability
Lloyds Banking Group has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lloyds Banking time series from 21st of June 2024 to 19th of September 2024 and 19th of September 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lloyds Banking Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Lloyds Banking price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.33 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Lloyds Banking Group lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Lloyds Banking stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lloyds Banking's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lloyds Banking returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lloyds Banking has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Lloyds Banking regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lloyds Banking stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lloyds Banking stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lloyds Banking stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Lloyds Banking Lagged Returns
When evaluating Lloyds Banking's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lloyds Banking stock have on its future price. Lloyds Banking autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lloyds Banking autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lloyds Banking stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lloyds Banking Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lloyds Stock
When determining whether Lloyds Banking Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lloyds Banking's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lloyds Banking's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lloyds Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Lloyds Banking Correlation, Lloyds Banking Volatility and Lloyds Banking Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lloyds Banking. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Lloyds Banking technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.