The Government Fixed Fund Market Value

HCUSX Fund  USD 8.53  0.02  0.23%   
The Us' market value is the price at which a share of The Us trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of The Government Fixed investors about its performance. The Us is trading at 8.53 as of the 24th of July 2025; that is 0.23 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of The Government Fixed and determine expected loss or profit from investing in The Us over a given investment horizon. Check out The Us Correlation, The Us Volatility and The Us Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on The Us.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between The Us' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if The Us is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, The Us' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

The Us 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to The Us' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of The Us.
0.00
04/25/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/24/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in The Us on April 25, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Government Fixed or generate 0.0% return on investment in The Us over 90 days. The Us is related to or competes with Vanguard Total, Vanguard 500, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, and Vanguard 500. The Us is entity of United States. It is traded as Fund on NMFQS exchange. More

The Us Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure The Us' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Government Fixed upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

The Us Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for The Us' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as The Us' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use The Us historical prices to predict the future The Us' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of The Us' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.188.538.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.138.488.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.228.578.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.468.548.61
Details

Government Fixed Backtested Returns

Government Fixed owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which indicates the fund had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. The Government Fixed exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate The Us' Semi Deviation of 0.3423, risk adjusted performance of 0.0042, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4511.31 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.059, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, the Us' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding the Us is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.4  

Poor reverse predictability

The Government Fixed has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between The Us time series from 25th of April 2025 to 9th of June 2025 and 9th of June 2025 to 24th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Government Fixed price movement. The serial correlation of -0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current The Us price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Government Fixed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is The Us mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting The Us' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of The Us returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that The Us has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

The Us regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If The Us mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if The Us mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in The Us mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

The Us Lagged Returns

When evaluating The Us' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of The Us mutual fund have on its future price. The Us autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, The Us autocorrelation shows the relationship between The Us mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Government Fixed.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund

The Us financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Us security.
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