New Germany Closed Fund Market Value

GF Fund  USD 11.54  0.08  0.70%   
New Germany's market value is the price at which a share of New Germany trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of New Germany Closed investors about its performance. New Germany is trading at 11.54 as of the 5th of August 2025. This is a 0.70 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's lowest day price was 11.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of New Germany Closed and determine expected loss or profit from investing in New Germany over a given investment horizon. Check out New Germany Correlation, New Germany Volatility and New Germany Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on New Germany.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between New Germany's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if New Germany is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New Germany's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

New Germany 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to New Germany's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of New Germany.
0.00
05/07/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
08/05/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in New Germany on May 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding New Germany Closed or generate 0.0% return on investment in New Germany over 90 days. New Germany is related to or competes with European Equity, Western Asset, MFS Charter, Central Europe, Fiera Capital, Swiss Helvetia, and Aberdeen Japan. The New Germany Fund Inc. is a closed ended equity mutual fund launched by Deutsche Investment Management Americas Inc More

New Germany Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure New Germany's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess New Germany Closed upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

New Germany Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for New Germany's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as New Germany's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use New Germany historical prices to predict the future New Germany's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4811.5412.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5011.5612.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.9711.0412.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3611.7612.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as New Germany. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against New Germany's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, New Germany's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in New Germany Closed.

New Germany Closed Backtested Returns

At this point, New Germany is very steady. New Germany Closed has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0991, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0991 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for New Germany, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify New Germany's Mean Deviation of 0.8322, risk adjusted performance of 0.1119, and Downside Deviation of 1.06 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.4, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, New Germany's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding New Germany is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.31  

Below average predictability

New Germany Closed has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between New Germany time series from 7th of May 2025 to 21st of June 2025 and 21st of June 2025 to 5th of August 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of New Germany Closed price movement. The serial correlation of 0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current New Germany price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

New Germany Closed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is New Germany fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting New Germany's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of New Germany returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that New Germany has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

New Germany regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If New Germany fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if New Germany fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in New Germany fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

New Germany Lagged Returns

When evaluating New Germany's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of New Germany fund have on its future price. New Germany autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, New Germany autocorrelation shows the relationship between New Germany fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in New Germany Closed.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in New Fund

New Germany financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New Germany security.
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