Essex Environmental Opportunities Fund Market Value

GEOSX Fund  USD 15.67  0.07  0.45%   
Essex Environmental's market value is the price at which a share of Essex Environmental trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Essex Environmental Opportunities investors about its performance. Essex Environmental is trading at 15.67 as of the 26th of July 2025; that is 0.45 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Essex Environmental Opportunities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Essex Environmental over a given investment horizon. Check out Essex Environmental Correlation, Essex Environmental Volatility and Essex Environmental Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Essex Environmental.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Essex Environmental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Essex Environmental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Essex Environmental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Essex Environmental 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Essex Environmental's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Essex Environmental.
0.00
04/27/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Essex Environmental on April 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Essex Environmental Opportunities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Essex Environmental over 90 days. Essex Environmental is related to or competes with Dws Emerging, Lord Abbett, Ep Emerging, Blackrock Emerging, Seafarer Overseas, Johcm Emerging, and Saat Market. Under normal market conditions, fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of clean-tech co... More

Essex Environmental Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Essex Environmental's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Essex Environmental Opportunities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Essex Environmental Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Essex Environmental's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Essex Environmental's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Essex Environmental historical prices to predict the future Essex Environmental's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Essex Environmental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6115.6716.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5416.6017.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.6315.6816.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2514.5615.87
Details

Essex Environmental Backtested Returns

Essex Environmental appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Essex Environmental secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.36, which denotes the fund had a 0.36 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Essex Environmental Opportunities, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Essex Environmental's Standard Deviation of 1.1, coefficient of variation of 250.28, and Mean Deviation of 0.8476 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.89, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Essex Environmental returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Essex Environmental is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.82  

Very good predictability

Essex Environmental Opportunities has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Essex Environmental time series from 27th of April 2025 to 11th of June 2025 and 11th of June 2025 to 26th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Essex Environmental price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Essex Environmental price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.82
Spearman Rank Test0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.41

Essex Environmental lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Essex Environmental mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Essex Environmental's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Essex Environmental returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Essex Environmental has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Essex Environmental regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Essex Environmental mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Essex Environmental mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Essex Environmental mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Essex Environmental Lagged Returns

When evaluating Essex Environmental's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Essex Environmental mutual fund have on its future price. Essex Environmental autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Essex Environmental autocorrelation shows the relationship between Essex Environmental mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Essex Environmental Opportunities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Essex Mutual Fund

Essex Environmental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Essex Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Essex with respect to the benefits of owning Essex Environmental security.
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