First Trustconfluence Small Fund Market Value
| FOVAX Fund | USD 26.38 0.22 0.83% |
| Symbol | First |
First Trustconfluence 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Trustconfluence's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Trustconfluence.
| 05/01/2025 |
| 07/30/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Trustconfluence on May 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Trustconfluence Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Trustconfluence over 90 days. First Trustconfluence is related to or competes with Nuveen Small, Emerald Growth, Emerald Growth, Emerald Growth, and Nasdaq 100. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing, under normal market conditions, at least 80 percent of ... More
First Trustconfluence Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Trustconfluence's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Trustconfluence Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.70) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.04 |
First Trustconfluence Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trustconfluence's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Trustconfluence's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Trustconfluence historical prices to predict the future First Trustconfluence's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0781 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1258 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.75) |
First Trustconfluence Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider First Mutual Fund to be very steady. First Trustconfluence secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0594, which denotes the fund had a 0.0594 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for First Trustconfluence Small, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm First Trustconfluence's Downside Deviation of 1.18, mean deviation of 0.9333, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1021.94 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0713%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.14, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Trustconfluence are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Trustconfluence is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.20 |
Weak predictability
First Trustconfluence Small has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Trustconfluence time series from 1st of May 2025 to 15th of June 2025 and 15th of June 2025 to 30th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Trustconfluence price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current First Trustconfluence price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.2 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.14 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.32 |
First Trustconfluence lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is First Trustconfluence mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting First Trustconfluence's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of First Trustconfluence returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that First Trustconfluence has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
First Trustconfluence regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If First Trustconfluence mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if First Trustconfluence mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in First Trustconfluence mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
First Trustconfluence Lagged Returns
When evaluating First Trustconfluence's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of First Trustconfluence mutual fund have on its future price. First Trustconfluence autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, First Trustconfluence autocorrelation shows the relationship between First Trustconfluence mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in First Trustconfluence Small.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund
First Trustconfluence financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Trustconfluence security.
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