First Niles Financial Stock Market Value
| FNFI Stock | USD 8.01 0.01 0.12% |
| Symbol | First |
First Niles 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Niles' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Niles.
| 10/17/2025 |
| 01/15/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Niles on October 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Niles Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Niles over 90 days. First Niles is related to or competes with 1st Federal, US Metro, Southern Banc, Third Century, Mutual Federal, Absecon Bancorp, and First Capital. First Niles Financial, Inc. operates as the holding company for the Home Federal Savings and Loan Association of Niles t... More
First Niles Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Niles' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Niles Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.26) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.99 |
First Niles Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Niles' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Niles' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Niles historical prices to predict the future First Niles' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1522 |
First Niles Financial Backtested Returns
First Niles is somewhat reliable at the moment. First Niles Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0106, which denotes the company had a 0.0106 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for First Niles Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First Niles' Mean Deviation of 1.57, standard deviation of 2.74, and Variance of 7.48 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.028%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.7, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Niles are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Niles is likely to outperform the market. First Niles Financial right now shows a risk of 2.65%. Please confirm First Niles Financial jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if First Niles Financial will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.3 |
Weak reverse predictability
First Niles Financial has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Niles time series from 17th of October 2025 to 1st of December 2025 and 1st of December 2025 to 15th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Niles Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current First Niles price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.3 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
First Niles Financial lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is First Niles pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting First Niles' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of First Niles returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that First Niles has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
First Niles regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If First Niles pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if First Niles pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in First Niles pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
First Niles Lagged Returns
When evaluating First Niles' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of First Niles pink sheet have on its future price. First Niles autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, First Niles autocorrelation shows the relationship between First Niles pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in First Niles Financial.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in First Pink Sheet
First Niles financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Niles security.