Eagle Financial Services Stock Market Value

EFSI Stock  USD 32.38  0.43  1.35%   
Eagle Financial's market value is the price at which a share of Eagle Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Eagle Financial Services investors about its performance. Eagle Financial is trading at 32.38 as of the 20th of October 2024. This is a 1.35 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 31.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Eagle Financial Services and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Eagle Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out Eagle Financial Correlation, Eagle Financial Volatility and Eagle Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Eagle Financial.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Eagle Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eagle Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eagle Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Eagle Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Eagle Financial's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Eagle Financial.
0.00
09/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
10/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Eagle Financial on September 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Eagle Financial Services or generate 0.0% return on investment in Eagle Financial over 30 days. Eagle Financial is related to or competes with United Overseas, KBC Groep, Jyske Bank, Israel Discount, Overseas Chinese, Nordea Bank, and Bank Mandiri. Eagle Financial Services, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Bank of Clarke County that provides various reta... More

Eagle Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Eagle Financial's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Eagle Financial Services upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Eagle Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Eagle Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Eagle Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Eagle Financial historical prices to predict the future Eagle Financial's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eagle Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.5832.3833.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.8632.6633.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.9932.7933.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.7432.0732.40
Details

Eagle Financial Services Backtested Returns

Eagle Financial Services secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0155, which denotes the company had a -0.0155% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Eagle Financial Services exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Eagle Financial's Standard Deviation of 0.8178, variance of 0.6688, and Mean Deviation of 0.404 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.12, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Eagle Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Eagle Financial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Eagle Financial Services has a negative expected return of -0.0124%. Please make sure to confirm Eagle Financial's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to decide if Eagle Financial Services performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.66  

Very good reverse predictability

Eagle Financial Services has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Eagle Financial time series from 20th of September 2024 to 5th of October 2024 and 5th of October 2024 to 20th of October 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Eagle Financial Services price movement. The serial correlation of -0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Eagle Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.66
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Eagle Financial Services lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Eagle Financial otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Eagle Financial's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Eagle Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Eagle Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Eagle Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Eagle Financial otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Eagle Financial otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Eagle Financial otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Eagle Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Eagle Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Eagle Financial otc stock have on its future price. Eagle Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Eagle Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Eagle Financial otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Eagle Financial Services.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Eagle OTC Stock

Eagle Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eagle OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eagle with respect to the benefits of owning Eagle Financial security.